btc_dominance_fear_gate_mean_reversion_long · strategy

closed trades

47%

win rate

-65.04

total pnl ($)

0.997

weight

7d window — n=28 wr=46% pnl=-24.86 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-31 06:31:03 (22.6d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485393_98680

n: 23 · wr: 47.8% · total_bps: -44.1 · mean_bps: -1.92 · sharpe: -0.02 · max_dd_bps: -502.3

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 90 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 18:41	BTC	Buy	64071.2→64503.8	+2.90	timeout
06-22 12:39	BTC	Buy	63983.2→65068.7	+7.98	timeout
06-22 06:33	BTC	Buy	63616.2→64055.8	+3.00	timeout
06-22 00:31	BTC	Buy	64147.2→63772.8	-3.38	timeout
06-21 18:27	BTC	Buy	64298.2→64017.8	-2.61	timeout
06-21 12:27	BTC	Buy	64494.2→63996.8	-4.29	timeout
06-21 06:23	BTC	Buy	64086.2→64225.8	+0.64	timeout
06-21 00:23	BTC	Buy	64061.2→64232.8	+0.88	timeout
06-20 18:19	BTC	Buy	63679.2→63825.8	+0.70	timeout
06-20 12:15	BTC	Buy	63395.2→63719.8	+2.10	timeout
06-20 06:11	BTC	Buy	63047.2→63631.8	+4.18	timeout
06-20 00:10	BTC	Buy	63090.2→63455.8	+2.45	timeout
06-19 18:07	BTC	Buy	62397.1→63102.8	+5.20	timeout
06-19 12:20	BTC	Buy	62731.1→62488.9	-2.35	timeout
06-19 06:08	BTC	Buy	62898.1→62758.9	-1.54	timeout
06-19 00:15	BTC	Buy	62604.1→62828.9	+1.35	timeout
06-18 17:59	BTC	Buy	64154.2→62563.9	-12.76	timeout
06-18 11:53	BTC	Buy	64323.2→63924.8	-3.57	timeout
06-18 05:58	BTC	Buy	64193.2→63958.8	-2.28	timeout
06-18 00:06	BTC	Buy	65808.3→64563.8	-9.91	timeout
06-17 17:55	BTC	Buy	64846.2→66090.7	+9.11	timeout
06-17 12:00	BTC	Buy	65833.3→64779.8	-8.48	timeout
06-17 05:55	BTC	Buy	65750.3→65755.7	-0.42	timeout
06-16 23:41	BTC	Buy	65844.3→65704.7	-1.53	timeout
06-16 17:36	BTC	Buy	66652.3→65755.7	-7.21	timeout
06-16 11:36	BTC	Buy	66044.3→66332.7	+1.71	timeout
06-16 05:39	BTC	Buy	66416.3→66083.7	-2.94	timeout
06-15 23:29	BTC	Buy	66644.3→66198.7	-3.81	timeout
06-15 17:28	BTC	Buy	65651.3→66830.7	+8.49	timeout
06-15 11:28	BTC	Buy	65702.3→66203.7	+3.37	timeout
06-15 05:21	BTC	Buy	64770.2→65710.7	+6.80	timeout
06-14 23:15	BTC	Buy	64079.2→65611.7	+11.49	timeout
06-14 17:11	BTC	Buy	64437.2→63921.8	-4.47	timeout
06-14 11:08	BTC	Buy	64470.2→64469.8	-0.45	timeout
06-14 05:03	BTC	Buy	64299.2→64349.8	-0.05	timeout
06-13 22:58	BTC	Buy	64206.2→64441.8	+1.38	timeout
06-13 16:52	BTC	Buy	63789.2→63907.8	+0.48	timeout
06-13 10:48	BTC	Buy	63579.2→63843.8	+1.60	timeout
06-13 04:45	BTC	Buy	63491.2→63590.8	+0.34	timeout
06-12 22:49	BTC	Buy	63480.2→63496.8	-0.34	timeout
06-12 16:43	BTC	Buy	63366.2→63788.8	+2.87	timeout
06-12 11:03	BTC	Buy	63582.2→63794.8	+1.20	timeout
06-12 05:03	BTC	Buy	63380.2→63600.8	+1.27	timeout
06-11 23:00	BTC	Buy	62713.1→63434.8	+5.26	timeout
06-11 16:45	BTC	Buy	62850.1→62646.9	-2.09	timeout
06-11 10:36	BTC	Buy	61980.1→62888.9	+6.83	timeout
06-11 04:28	BTC	Buy	61872.1→62585.9	+5.27	timeout
06-10 22:26	BTC	Buy	61993.1→61298.9	-6.05	timeout
06-10 16:19	BTC	Buy	61601.1→62295.9	+5.16	timeout
06-10 00:00	BTC	Buy	61183.1→62016.9	+6.40	timeout
06-09 18:00	BTC	Buy	62708.1→61688.9	-8.60	timeout
06-09 11:59	BTC	Buy	62849.1→62666.9	-1.88	timeout
06-09 05:59	BTC	Buy	63713.2→63323.8	-3.52	timeout
06-08 23:58	BTC	Buy	63776.2→63071.8	-5.99	timeout
06-08 17:50	BTC	Buy	63449.2→63468.8	-0.33	timeout
06-08 11:47	BTC	Buy	63109.2→63489.8	+2.56	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Buy	62052.1→64031.8	+15.50	take_profit
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	61666.1→63634.8	+15.51	take_profit
06-07 17:42	BTC	Buy	62549.1→62287.9	-2.53	timeout
06-07 11:34	BTC	Buy	61614.1→62436.9	+6.24	timeout
06-07 05:30	BTC	Buy	60866→61711.9	+6.51	timeout
06-06 23:23	BTC	Buy	60479→60638	+0.89	timeout
06-06 17:18	BTC	Buy	61236.1→60670	-5.07	timeout
06-06 11:15	BTC	Buy	60890→60586	-2.93	timeout
06-06 04:34	BTC	Buy	61765.1→59567.2	-18.24	stop_loss
06-05 23:26	BTC	Buy	60988→60841	-1.67	timeout
06-05 13:57	BTC	Buy	63110.2→60864.5	-18.24	stop_loss
06-05 12:10	BTC	Buy	62854.1→62141.9	-6.13	timeout
06-05 05:20	BTC	Buy	63668.2→63314.8	-3.21	timeout
06-04 23:52	BTC	Buy	63860.2→63810.8	-0.83	timeout
06-04 17:46	BTC	Buy	63142.2→63003.8	-1.57	timeout
06-04 13:00	BTC	Buy	64258.2→63611.8	-5.45	timeout
06-04 00:39	BTC	Buy	65389.3→63062.3	-18.24	stop_loss
06-03 22:09	BTC	Buy	66755.3→65536.7	-9.58	timeout
06-03 12:41	BTC	Buy	66373.3→66896.7	+3.50	timeout
06-03 07:33	BTC	Buy	66509.3→67195.6	+4.67	timeout
06-02 23:57	BTC	Buy	67283.4→66793.7	-4.09	timeout
06-02 14:27	BTC	Buy	70175.5→67666.8	-18.34	stop_loss
06-02 09:49	BTC	Buy	70886.5→69501.5	-10.27	timeout
05-31 21:56	BTC	Buy	73832.7→73874.3	-0.17	timeout
05-31 13:48	BTC	Buy	74053.7→73840.3	-1.90	timeout
05-31 07:54	BTC	Buy	73812.7→73843.3	-0.29	timeout
05-30 17:52	BTC	Buy	73554.7→73963.3	+2.29	timeout
05-30 07:48	BTC	Buy	73388.7→73479.3	+0.15	timeout
05-29 21:15	BTC	Buy	73093.7→73768.3	+4.15	timeout
05-29 14:45	BTC	Buy	73675.7→72616.4	-7.69	timeout
05-29 09:17	BTC	Buy	73746.7→73803.3	-0.09	timeout
05-29 03:29	BTC	Buy	73532.7→73359.3	-1.67	timeout
05-28 20:39	BTC	Buy	73441.7→73669.3	+1.05	timeout
05-28 14:36	BTC	Buy	72733.6→72887.4	+0.56	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

47%

win rate

-65.04

total pnl ($)

-14.3 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	90	47%	-14.3	-65.04

Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 10:57	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 04:55	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-21 22:49	BTC	Buy	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…