155
closed trades
50%
win rate
+298.83
total pnl ($)
1.850
weight
7d window — n=36 wr=53% pnl=+111.26
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 20:45:13 (25.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
x2189873_29907
n: 587
· wr: 53.8%
· total_bps: +11588.7
· mean_bps: +19.74
· sharpe: +0.09
· max_dd_bps: -8653.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 12:07 | BTC | Sell | 59184→60648.3 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 07:49 | BTC | Sell | 60207→60049 | +0.87 | timeout |
| 06-29 05:12 | BTC | Sell | 59980→59398 | +4.40 | timeout |
| 06-29 03:36 | BTC | Sell | 60179→59945 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 06-28 21:32 | BTC | Sell | 60444→59702 | +5.68 | timeout |
| 06-28 18:41 | BTC | Sell | 60519→59604 | +7.08 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:28 | BTC | Sell | 59896→60233 | -3.30 | timeout |
| 06-27 18:28 | BTC | Sell | 59864→60461 | -5.45 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:24 | BTC | Sell | 59992→60688 | -6.29 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:52 | BTC | Sell | 59260→60340 | -9.53 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:12 | BTC | Sell | 59446→60370 | -8.18 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:59 | BTC | Sell | 59460→59604 | -1.55 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:59 | BTC | Sell | 59642→60016 | -3.50 | timeout |
| 06-26 14:51 | BTC | Sell | 59683→59724 | -0.74 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:40 | BTC | Sell | 59298→60758.4 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:39 | BTC | Sell | 59284→60743.4 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | BTC | Sell | 58925.1→60411.2 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:58 | BTC | Sell | 60859→58186.9 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:57 | BTC | Sell | 61072.9→58390.9 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:54 | BTC | Sell | 61288.9→58570.9 | +21.65 | take_profit |
| 06-25 07:42 | BTC | Sell | 60466→61958.1 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:56 | BTC | Sell | 59874→61348.7 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:49 | BTC | Sell | 59621→61094.6 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:49 | BTC | Sell | 59548→61014.5 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | BTC | Sell | 62501.9→59738 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:46 | BTC | Sell | 62848.9→60087 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:46 | BTC | Sell | 62880.9→60118 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:20 | BTC | Sell | 62624.9→60513 | +16.20 | timeout |
| 06-24 13:29 | BTC | Sell | 62036.9→61837.1 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:35 | BTC | Sell | 62282.9→62745.1 | -4.07 | timeout |
| 06-24 05:31 | BTC | Sell | 63460.8→62855.1 | +4.39 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:55 | BTC | Sell | 64731.8→62500.1 | +16.76 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:27 | BTC | Sell | 64842.8→61990.1 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:27 | BTC | Sell | 64906.8→62056.1 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Sell | 65030.7→62173.1 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-23 01:50 | BTC | Sell | 64583.8→63881.2 | +4.96 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:44 | BTC | Sell | 63876.8→65453 | -12.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:36 | BTC | Sell | 63729.8→65300.9 | -12.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:35 | BTC | Sell | 63700.8→65268.9 | -12.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 12:02 | BTC | Sell | 63327.8→64886.7 | -12.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 01:28 | BTC | Sell | 64217.8→64583.2 | -3.22 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:26 | BTC | Sell | 64220.8→63605.2 | +4.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:23 | BTC | Sell | 64237.8→63721.2 | +3.55 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:18 | BTC | Sell | 63935.8→63492.2 | +3.02 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:03 | BTC | Sell | 64005.8→64214.2 | -2.10 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:27 | BTC | Sell | 63509.8→64228.2 | -6.07 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:23 | BTC | Sell | 63265.8→64247.2 | -8.20 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:21 | BTC | Sell | 63186.8→64066.2 | -7.41 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:16 | BTC | Sell | 63239.8→63943.2 | -6.02 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:00 | BTC | Sell | 63189.8→64013.2 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-19 23:38 | BTC | Sell | 62866.9→63332.2 | -4.12 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:38 | BTC | Sell | 62780.9→63223.2 | -3.93 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:36 | BTC | Sell | 62953.9→63097.2 | -1.54 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:33 | BTC | Sell | 63121.8→63011.2 | +0.46 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:20 | BTC | Sell | 63403.8→63105.2 | +1.80 | timeout |
| 06-18 22:53 | BTC | Sell | 64377.8→62849.1 | +11.34 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:52 | BTC | Sell | 64197.8→62893.1 | +9.61 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:48 | BTC | Sell | 64246.8→63069.2 | +8.57 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:50 | BTC | Sell | 64204.8→62909.1 | +9.46 | timeout |
| 06-18 13:41 | BTC | Sell | 65203.7→63958.2 | +9.10 | timeout |
| 06-17 17:50 | BTC | Sell | 65938.7→65818.3 | +0.55 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:46 | BTC | Sell | 65747.7→65974.3 | -2.16 | timeout |
| 06-17 14:42 | BTC | Sell | 65666.7→65093.3 | +3.93 | timeout |
| 06-17 13:38 | BTC | Sell | 66027.7→65195.3 | +5.89 | timeout |
| 06-17 12:34 | BTC | Sell | 66732.7→64763.2 | +14.38 | timeout |
| 06-16 17:43 | BTC | Sell | 66858.7→65708.3 | +8.25 | timeout |
| 06-16 16:41 | BTC | Sell | 67171.6→65781.3 | +10.00 | timeout |
| 06-16 12:28 | BTC | Sell | 66228.7→66563.3 | -2.89 | timeout |
| 06-16 11:21 | BTC | Sell | 66186.7→66520.3 | -2.91 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:00 | BTC | Sell | 65893.7→66131.3 | -2.29 | timeout |
| 06-15 15:47 | BTC | Sell | 65504.7→67119.9 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 15:47 | BTC | Sell | 65491.7→67112.9 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 22:50 | BTC | Sell | 64469.8→65443.3 | -7.95 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:45 | BTC | Sell | 64518.8→65379.3 | -7.08 | timeout |
| 06-14 20:43 | BTC | Sell | 64216.8→64023.2 | +1.09 | timeout |
| 06-14 19:41 | BTC | Sell | 64262.8→63755.2 | +3.55 | timeout |
| 06-14 18:40 | BTC | Sell | 64240.8→63764.2 | +3.35 | timeout |
| 06-13 19:13 | BTC | Sell | 63681.8→64150.2 | -4.13 | timeout |
| 06-13 18:14 | BTC | Sell | 63804.8→64058.2 | -2.41 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:13 | BTC | Sell | 63845.8→63957.2 | -1.32 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:12 | BTC | Sell | 63722.8→64077.2 | -3.23 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:10 | BTC | Sell | 64134.8→64224.2 | -1.11 | timeout |
| 06-12 19:06 | BTC | Sell | 63456.8→63681.2 | -2.20 | timeout |
| 06-12 18:04 | BTC | Sell | 63502.8→63857.2 | -3.23 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:00 | BTC | Sell | 62564.9→64109.2 | -12.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 15:00 | BTC | Sell | 62556.9→64104.2 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 14:50 | BTC | Sell | 62861.9→63492.2 | -5.38 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:32 | BTC | Sell | 61885.9→63428.9 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 17:12 | BTC | Sell | 62000.9→62442.1 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-11 16:08 | BTC | Sell | 62408.9→62779.1 | -3.27 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:05 | BTC | Sell | 62021.9→62628.1 | -5.24 | timeout |
| 06-11 14:02 | BTC | Sell | 62074.9→63001.1 | -7.80 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:43 | BTC | Sell | 61341.9→62037.1 | -6.09 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | BTC | Sell | 62348.9→62202.1 | +0.74 | timeout |
| 06-10 12:42 | BTC | Sell | 62543.9→61672.1 | +6.48 | timeout |
| 06-10 11:10 | BTC | Sell | 62607.9→61062.1 | +11.86 | timeout |
| 06-10 05:45 | BTC | Sell | 63378.8→62023.1 | +10.18 | timeout |
| 06-09 04:41 | BTC | Sell | 62720.9→63287.2 | -4.98 | timeout |
| 06-09 03:31 | BTC | Sell | 63151.8→62703.1 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:47 | BTC | Sell | 63558.8→62524.1 | +7.71 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
155
closed
50%
win rate
+298.83
total pnl ($)
+38.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
13
closed
46%
win rate
+125.70
total pnl ($)
+35.3 bps
avg bps net
Live WR is 93% of paper WR (46% vs 50%)
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 155 | 50% | +38.2 | +298.83 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 15:24 | BTC | Sell | circuit_breaker |
| 06-29 14:04 | BTC | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||