btc_dominance_decel_long_eth

not live
18
closed trades
33%
win rate
-89.34
total pnl ($)
1.144
weight
7d window — n=4 wr=50% pnl=-16.66  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 06:03:33 (39.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS  ·  strict: STRICT-PASS  ·  batch: ct__restored_0deeed23
n: 7  ·  wr: 57.1%  ·  total_bps: +105.6  ·  mean_bps: +15.08  ·  sharpe: +0.16  ·  max_dd_bps: -272.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 18 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-27 22:16ETHBuy1592.46→1562.66-9.79stop_loss
06-26 22:31ETHBuy1566.36→1571.44+1.16timeout
06-25 22:24ETHBuy1560.56→1567.64+1.81timeout
06-24 15:47ETHBuy1647.56→1616.63-9.84stop_loss
06-20 16:58ETHBuy1722.47→1732.93+2.58timeout
06-19 16:58ETHBuy1696.37→1696.93-0.27timeout
06-18 15:38ETHBuy1742.67→1710.07-9.73stop_loss
06-17 17:01ETHBuy1767.48→1771.02+0.53timeout
06-10 20:16ETHBuy1622.16→1624.64+0.35timeout
06-06 10:30ETHBuy1575.86→1546.37-9.81stop_loss
06-05 13:53ETHBuy1660.17→1629.12-9.77stop_loss
06-04 10:48ETHBuy1773.58→1740.36-9.81stop_loss
06-03 15:46ETHBuy1875.79→1840.6-9.83stop_loss
06-02 14:22ETHBuy1979.6→1941.13-10.17stop_loss
06-01 13:24ETHBuy1999.2→1973.5-6.93timeout
05-31 07:44ETHBuy2019.9→2022.7+0.23timeout
05-30 08:28ETHBuy2013.4→2014.1-0.32timeout
05-07 14:38ETHBuy2329.23→2285.93-9.75stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
18
closed
33%
win rate
-89.34
total pnl ($)
-99.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
ETH1833%-99.3-89.34

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-07 14:38ETHBuy-9.75ETH was declining across all timeframes with negative momentum in both ETH and BTC. The thesis failed because the stop loss was triggered as the downtrend continued, confirming the market's bearish bias.