btc_dominance_day_change_fade

not live
7
closed trades
43%
win rate
-20.27
total pnl ($)
1.242
weight
7d window — n=1 wr=100% pnl=+3.30  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-19 03:58:03 (39.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: y__restored_73150ede
n: 3  ·  wr: 33.3%  ·  total_bps: -366.4  ·  mean_bps: -122.13  ·  sharpe: -1.38  ·  max_dd_bps: -369.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 7 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-26 02:03BTCBuy58948.9→59390+3.30timeout
06-07 08:46ETHBuy1562.36→1631.74+21.74take_profit
06-04 11:10BTCBuy63793.2→62224.8-12.73stop_loss
06-03 19:54BTCBuy66988.3→65335-12.82stop_loss
06-02 14:08BTCBuy70212.5→68485.3-12.77stop_loss
06-02 00:41BTCBuy72247.6→71174.4-7.95timeout
04-25 03:02ETHBuy2310.1→2316.6+0.96timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
7
closed
43%
win rate
-20.27
total pnl ($)
-57.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC520%-171.5-42.97
ETH2100%+227.1+22.70

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
04-25 03:02ETHBuy+0.96Bitcoin dominance had risen 0.71 percentage points to 58.2% over 24 hours, prompting a fade strategy that expected mean reversion to favor altcoins. The trade's thesis didn't materialize as BTC.D stabilized around that elevated level while ETH traded essent…