btc_dominance_contrarian_short · strategy

closed trades

49%

win rate

+282.88

total pnl ($)

1.798

weight

7d window — n=24 wr=50% pnl=+95.91 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-04 01:13:21 (23.3d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x2189877_30094

n: 414 · wr: 47.8% · total_bps: +6592.4 · mean_bps: +15.92 · sharpe: +0.06 · max_dd_bps: -10423.1

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 91 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 07:15	BTC	Sell	59104→60559.3	-10.24	stop_loss
06-25 13:57	BTC	Sell	60945→58267.9	+17.14	take_profit
06-25 13:57	BTC	Sell	60997.9→58310.9	+17.22	take_profit
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61192.9→58502.9	+17.22	take_profit
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61202.9→58502.9	+17.28	take_profit
06-25 13:53	BTC	Sell	61566.9→58809.9	+17.53	take_profit
06-24 20:49	BTC	Sell	59698→61173.6	-10.27	stop_loss
06-24 20:49	BTC	Sell	59612→61083.6	-10.24	stop_loss
06-24 17:19	BTC	Sell	62290.9→59554	+17.18	take_profit
06-24 16:51	BTC	Sell	62572.9→59783	+17.27	take_profit
06-24 14:19	BTC	Sell	63683.8→60878	+17.24	take_profit
06-24 14:02	BTC	Sell	64011.8→61201.1	+17.19	take_profit
06-24 13:44	BTC	Sell	64264.8→61443.1	+17.19	take_profit
06-24 08:59	BTC	Sell	64119.8→62784.1	+8.09	timeout
06-23 08:24	BTC	Sell	64999.7→62142.1	+17.19	take_profit
06-22 13:50	BTC	Sell	63986.8→65563	-9.99	stop_loss
06-22 13:50	BTC	Sell	63981.8→65557	-10.11	stop_loss
06-22 13:31	BTC	Sell	63671.8→65239.9	-10.15	stop_loss
06-22 13:31	BTC	Sell	63675.8→65245.9	-10.15	stop_loss
06-22 08:13	BTC	Sell	63503.8→64214.2	-4.70	timeout
06-21 22:49	BTC	Sell	63327.8→63663.2	-2.51	timeout
06-21 20:44	BTC	Sell	63056.8→63939.2	-5.95	timeout
06-21 15:05	BTC	Sell	63104.8→64200.2	-7.40	timeout
06-20 14:46	BTC	Sell	62534.9→64075.2	-10.11	stop_loss
06-20 02:52	BTC	Sell	64691.8→63339.2	+7.99	timeout
06-19 21:39	BTC	Sell	64338.8→63101.2	+7.41	timeout
06-19 19:31	BTC	Sell	64551.8→62971.1	+9.48	timeout
06-19 13:02	BTC	Sell	65009.7→62787.1	+13.17	timeout
06-18 15:37	BTC	Sell	65910.7→63007.2	+16.98	take_profit
06-17 22:44	BTC	Sell	66242.7→64214.2	+11.87	timeout
06-17 17:43	BTC	Sell	66853.7→65833.3	+5.90	timeout
06-17 15:42	BTC	Sell	66841.7→65501.3	+7.67	timeout
06-17 13:45	BTC	Sell	66496.7→65267.3	+7.09	timeout
06-17 11:41	BTC	Sell	66186.7→64777.2	+8.30	timeout
06-15 15:54	BTC	Sell	65652.7→67277	-10.26	stop_loss
06-15 15:52	BTC	Sell	65635.7→67252	-10.22	stop_loss
06-15 12:40	BTC	Sell	64806.8→66403.5	-10.22	stop_loss
06-15 00:14	BTC	Sell	64263.8→65864.2	-10.33	stop_loss
06-14 23:55	BTC	Sell	64215.8→65798.2	-10.28	stop_loss
06-14 23:27	BTC	Sell	64115.8→65694.1	-10.16	stop_loss
06-14 21:40	BTC	Sell	63795.8→65368.9	-10.18	stop_loss
06-14 20:39	BTC	Sell	63512.8→64005.2	-3.40	timeout
06-13 19:35	BTC	Sell	63740.8→64190.2	-3.18	timeout
06-13 11:11	BTC	Sell	63160.8→63895.2	-4.85	timeout
06-12 15:13	BTC	Sell	62767.9→64335.4	-10.26	stop_loss
06-12 15:11	BTC	Sell	62709.9→64268.3	-10.24	stop_loss
06-12 15:01	BTC	Sell	62663.9→64213.3	-10.16	stop_loss
06-11 17:32	BTC	Sell	61800.9→63326.8	-10.09	stop_loss
06-11 11:12	BTC	Sell	62578.9→63153.2	-3.81	timeout
06-11 08:48	BTC	Sell	61519.9→63034.7	-10.06	stop_loss
06-11 04:53	BTC	Sell	63233.8→62796.1	+2.65	timeout
06-11 02:43	BTC	Sell	62578.9→62054.1	+3.09	timeout
06-09 16:05	BTC	Sell	63748.8→60949	+17.34	take_profit
06-09 14:46	BTC	Sell	64059.8→61244.1	+17.24	take_profit
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	62568.9→64127.3	-10.33	stop_loss
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	62467.9→64007.2	-10.22	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	62161.9→63776.1	-10.75	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61800.9→63325.8	-10.23	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61612.9→63142.7	-10.31	stop_loss
06-07 08:48	BTC	Sell	61354.9→62866.6	-10.23	stop_loss
06-07 08:36	BTC	Sell	61106.9→62614.4	-10.27	stop_loss
06-07 08:23	BTC	Sell	60982→62483.3	-10.29	stop_loss
06-07 07:57	BTC	Sell	60904→62404.3	-10.23	stop_loss
06-06 06:02	BTC	Sell	59650→61118.6	-10.21	stop_loss
06-05 20:50	BTC	Sell	60129→61609.9	-10.21	stop_loss
06-05 18:55	BTC	Sell	61837.9→59122	+17.23	take_profit
06-05 16:10	BTC	Sell	62729.9→59972	+17.19	take_profit
06-05 14:28	BTC	Sell	63109.8→60329	+17.26	take_profit
06-05 14:04	BTC	Sell	63346.8→60564	+17.21	take_profit
06-05 13:57	BTC	Sell	63695.8→60899	+17.21	take_profit
06-05 06:23	BTC	Sell	64110.8→61295.1	+17.17	take_profit
06-04 12:48	BTC	Sell	62239.9→63774.1	-10.22	stop_loss
06-04 04:15	BTC	Sell	63163.8→64720.6	-10.22	stop_loss
06-04 01:16	BTC	Sell	65868.7→62976.1	+17.20	take_profit
06-04 00:39	BTC	Sell	65977.7→63080.2	+17.20	take_profit
06-04 00:24	BTC	Sell	66958.7→64018.2	+17.20	take_profit
06-03 23:38	BTC	Sell	67217.6→64265.2	+17.22	take_profit
06-03 23:10	BTC	Sell	67379.6→64421.2	+17.18	take_profit
06-03 03:35	BTC	Sell	68995.6→65965.3	+17.21	take_profit
06-02 19:33	BTC	Sell	69502.5→66367.3	+17.70	take_profit
06-02 19:32	BTC	Sell	69990.5→66698.3	+18.46	take_profit
06-02 02:06	BTC	Sell	73581.3→70323.5	+17.50	take_profit
06-02 02:04	BTC	Sell	73776.3→70534.5	+17.33	take_profit
06-02 02:01	BTC	Sell	73865.3→70618.5	+17.43	take_profit
06-02 01:59	BTC	Sell	73919.3→70673.5	+17.39	take_profit
06-02 01:47	BTC	Sell	74033.3→70782.5	+17.44	take_profit
05-30 21:55	BTC	Sell	73830.3→73935.7	-0.75	timeout
05-30 18:19	BTC	Sell	73599.3→74030.7	-2.52	timeout
05-30 12:25	BTC	Sell	73258.3→73624.7	-2.28	timeout
05-30 10:16	BTC	Sell	73536.3→73616.7	-0.73	timeout
05-30 08:04	BTC	Sell	73338.3→73512.7	-1.24	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

49%

win rate

+282.88

total pnl ($)

+76.9 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	91	49%	+76.9	+282.88

Recent bounces (last 20 of 7)

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 11:21	BTC	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 23:45	BTC	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 21:40	BTC	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 17:09	BTC	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 15:02	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 15:33	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 11:34	BTC	Sell	below_min_notional_skip

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…