101
closed trades
43%
win rate
-327.68
total pnl ($)
0.936
weight
7d window — n=25 wr=60% pnl=-17.16
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-27 09:45:53 (26.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
x2189873_25439
n: 33
· wr: 33.3%
· total_bps: -1265.6
· mean_bps: -38.35
· sharpe: -0.16
· max_dd_bps: -3565.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 19:15 | BTC | Buy | 63868.2→64179.8 | +2.03 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:12 | BTC | Buy | 63837.2→63963.8 | +0.62 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:07 | BTC | Buy | 63905.2→64151.8 | +1.54 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:03 | BTC | Buy | 64002.2→64192.8 | +1.05 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:08 | BTC | Buy | 63029.2→63818.8 | +5.83 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:04 | BTC | Buy | 63111.2→63879.8 | +5.63 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:57 | BTC | Buy | 62999.1→63965.8 | +7.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:53 | BTC | Buy | 63205.2→64066.8 | +6.30 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:11 | BTC | Buy | 62686.1→63100.8 | +2.85 | timeout |
| 06-19 17:09 | BTC | Buy | 62548.1→62978.9 | +2.99 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:10 | BTC | Buy | 62674.1→63099.8 | +2.96 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:11 | BTC | Buy | 63650.2→63151.8 | -4.26 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:51 | BTC | Buy | 64103.2→62523.6 | -12.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:51 | BTC | Buy | 64161.2→62573.6 | -12.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 64252.2→62668.5 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 09:28 | BTC | Buy | 65025.3→64244.8 | -6.48 | timeout |
| 06-17 15:43 | BTC | Buy | 65844.3→65488.7 | -3.16 | timeout |
| 06-17 14:42 | BTC | Buy | 65677.3→65067.7 | -5.10 | timeout |
| 06-17 13:37 | BTC | Buy | 65958.3→65125.7 | -6.80 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:31 | BTC | Buy | 66754.3→65108.2 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:34 | BTC | Buy | 66513.3→65413.7 | -8.80 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:06 | BTC | Buy | 65800.3→66169.7 | +2.40 | timeout |
| 06-15 23:22 | BTC | Buy | 65510.3→66117.7 | +4.14 | timeout |
| 06-15 21:52 | BTC | Buy | 65508.3→66395.7 | +6.27 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:46 | BTC | Buy | 64361.2→66506.7 | +16.24 | timeout |
| 06-14 19:48 | BTC | Buy | 64277.2→63724.8 | -4.79 | timeout |
| 06-14 18:45 | BTC | Buy | 64253.2→63756.8 | -4.40 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:55 | BTC | Buy | 64198.2→63894.8 | -2.82 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:24 | BTC | Buy | 64162.2→64297.8 | +0.60 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:15 | BTC | Buy | 63871.2→64031.8 | +0.86 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:12 | BTC | Buy | 64203.2→64252.8 | -0.10 | timeout |
| 06-13 11:23 | BTC | Buy | 63822.2→63912.8 | +0.17 | timeout |
| 06-13 04:42 | BTC | Buy | 63684.2→63586.8 | -1.21 | timeout |
| 06-11 19:14 | BTC | Buy | 61717.1→63533.8 | +14.14 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:07 | BTC | Buy | 61956.1→63372.8 | +10.86 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:03 | BTC | Buy | 62269.1→62403.9 | +0.55 | timeout |
| 06-11 16:04 | BTC | Buy | 62462.1→62642.9 | +0.89 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:56 | BTC | Buy | 61708.1→61884.9 | +0.95 | timeout |
| 06-10 16:53 | BTC | Buy | 61185.1→62118.9 | +7.12 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:51 | BTC | Buy | 61329.1→62343.9 | +7.77 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:49 | BTC | Buy | 61196.1→61900.9 | +5.27 | timeout |
| 06-09 16:06 | BTC | Buy | 62427.1→60891.5 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:29 | BTC | Buy | 63045.2→61494.2 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:18 | BTC | Buy | 63301.2→61743 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:16 | BTC | Buy | 63470.2→61908.9 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 13:11 | BTC | Buy | 63787.2→62633.9 | -9.46 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:59 | BTC | Buy | 62030.1→63421.8 | +10.71 | timeout |
| 06-08 17:53 | BTC | Buy | 62112.1→63480.8 | +10.47 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:52 | BTC | Buy | 62187.1→63530.8 | +10.26 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:16 | BTC | Buy | 62461.1→63345.8 | +6.63 | timeout |
| 06-07 15:21 | BTC | Buy | 60619→61736.9 | +8.76 | timeout |
| 06-07 12:20 | BTC | Buy | 60896→62061.9 | +9.12 | timeout |
| 06-07 06:22 | BTC | Buy | 61188.1→61817.9 | +4.75 | timeout |
| 06-07 05:13 | BTC | Buy | 60014→61773.9 | +14.24 | timeout |
| 06-06 04:14 | BTC | Buy | 61549.1→60035 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:13 | BTC | Buy | 61602.1→60086.9 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:12 | BTC | Buy | 61723.1→60203.9 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 21:15 | BTC | Buy | 59383→61989.9 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-05 14:06 | BTC | Buy | 61976.1→60450.7 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 14:04 | BTC | Buy | 62088.1→60559.7 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:57 | BTC | Buy | 62400.1→60865.5 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:49 | BTC | Buy | 62876.1→61329.3 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 11:57 | BTC | Buy | 62445.1→62047.9 | -3.66 | timeout |
| 06-05 06:24 | BTC | Buy | 62680.1→61138.4 | -12.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:21 | BTC | Buy | 63059.2→61508.2 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 05:59 | BTC | Buy | 63807.2→62230.8 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 02:36 | BTC | Buy | 63100.2→62880.9 | -2.16 | timeout |
| 06-04 09:29 | BTC | Buy | 64333.2→62751.5 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 09:27 | BTC | Buy | 64376.2→62793.4 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 09:27 | BTC | Buy | 64415.2→62824.4 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 02:04 | BTC | Buy | 62906.1→61359.2 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 00:24 | BTC | Buy | 65536.3→63924.8 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 23:38 | BTC | Buy | 65848.3→64226.7 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 23:38 | BTC | Buy | 65895.3→64268.6 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 23:03 | BTC | Buy | 66100.3→64470.5 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 03:50 | BTC | Buy | 67189.4→65535.9 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 03:50 | BTC | Buy | 67198.4→65543.9 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 03:33 | BTC | Buy | 67642.4→65978.7 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 03:28 | BTC | Buy | 67775.4→66097.6 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:26 | BTC | Buy | 69542.5→67830.7 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:23 | BTC | Buy | 69735.5→68017.6 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:21 | BTC | Buy | 69895.5→68172.5 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:10 | BTC | Buy | 69994.5→68272.4 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 02:06 | BTC | Buy | 72002.6→70232.4 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 01:37 | BTC | Buy | 72636.6→70849 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 01:34 | BTC | Buy | 72760.6→70970.9 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 01:32 | BTC | Buy | 72786.6→70996.9 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 03:56 | BTC | Buy | 74138.7→73710.3 | -3.39 | timeout |
| 06-01 01:43 | BTC | Buy | 74057.7→73511.3 | -4.23 | timeout |
| 05-31 23:46 | BTC | Buy | 73788.7→73589.3 | -1.78 | timeout |
| 05-31 21:31 | BTC | Buy | 73964.7→73611.3 | -2.84 | timeout |
| 05-31 00:32 | BTC | Buy | 73403.7→73944.3 | +3.21 | timeout |
| 05-30 22:42 | BTC | Buy | 73433.7→73793.3 | +1.89 | timeout |
| 05-30 19:04 | BTC | Buy | 73424.7→73993.3 | +3.31 | timeout |
| 05-30 17:18 | BTC | Buy | 74231.7→73876.3 | -2.96 | timeout |
| 05-30 15:43 | BTC | Buy | 73757.7→73831.3 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 05-29 18:34 | BTC | Buy | 73607.7→73807.3 | +0.80 | timeout |
| 05-29 17:15 | BTC | Buy | 73430.7→74167.3 | +4.48 | timeout |
| 05-29 16:05 | BTC | Buy | 72770.6→73836.3 | +6.84 | timeout |
| 05-29 14:53 | BTC | Buy | 72927.6→73047.3 | +0.22 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
101
closed
43%
win rate
-327.68
total pnl ($)
-64.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 101 | 43% | -64.5 | -327.68 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 00:03 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 22:36 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||