41
closed trades
32%
win rate
-76.77
total pnl ($)
1.238
weight
7d window — n=7 wr=29% pnl=+4.44
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 41 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 15:50 | BTC | Sell | 59814→60372 | -5.10 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:51 | BTC | Sell | 61158.9→59203 | +15.54 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:56 | BTC | Buy | 61292.1→61296.9 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:42 | BTC | Buy | 62980.1→62810.9 | -1.81 | timeout |
| 06-22 02:46 | BTC | Sell | 63927.8→64408.2 | -4.19 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:34 | BTC | Sell | 63963.8→64000.2 | -0.75 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:49 | BTC | Buy | 63350.2→63554.8 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:40 | BTC | Buy | 63329.2→63005.8 | -3.01 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:05 | BTC | Buy | 66247.3→65015.2 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:26 | BTC | Buy | 66038.3→65314.7 | -5.92 | timeout |
| 06-16 12:30 | BTC | Buy | 66308.3→66588.7 | +1.64 | timeout |
| 06-14 20:32 | BTC | Sell | 64075.8→63902.2 | +0.92 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:55 | BTC | Buy | 63587.2→63701.8 | +0.45 | timeout |
| 06-12 12:35 | BTC | Sell | 62901.9→63499.2 | -5.18 | timeout |
| 06-10 19:41 | BTC | Buy | 62147.1→61965.9 | -1.93 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:35 | BTC | Buy | 63211.2→62634.9 | -5.00 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:58 | BTC | Sell | 62725.9→63111.2 | -3.52 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:30 | BTC | Buy | 61352.1→60209.9 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:24 | BTC | Sell | 63206.8→61189.1 | +15.50 | take_profit |
| 05-31 20:16 | BTC | Sell | 73655.3→73650.7 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 05-26 16:36 | BTC | Buy | 77375.9→76664.2 | -5.05 | timeout |
| 05-25 03:45 | BTC | Sell | 76124.2→77041.9 | -6.46 | timeout |
| 05-24 02:32 | BTC | Buy | 76189.8→76739.2 | +3.14 | timeout |
| 05-22 18:12 | BTC | Buy | 77397.9→76740.2 | -4.73 | timeout |
| 05-22 06:10 | BTC | Sell | 77455.1→77441.9 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 05-21 16:26 | BTC | Sell | 77349.1→77101.9 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 05-19 23:04 | BTC | Buy | 76914.8→76696.2 | -1.91 | timeout |
| 05-19 07:22 | BTC | Sell | 76878.2→77210.9 | -2.60 | timeout |
| 05-18 14:35 | BTC | Buy | 77620.9→76180.1 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 05-11 22:11 | BTC | Buy | 81692.1→81790.9 | +0.15 | timeout |
| 05-10 22:34 | BTC | Sell | 80601→82098.1 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 05-10 06:08 | BTC | Sell | 80588→80692 | -1.09 | timeout |
| 05-07 13:16 | BTC | Buy | 81594.1→80907 | -4.68 | timeout |
| 05-04 14:48 | BTC | Sell | 78619.1→80079 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 02:00 | BTC | Sell | 78571.1→80030 | -9.73 | stop_loss |
| 05-03 17:44 | BTC | Buy | 78580.9→78759.1 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 04-30 06:48 | BTC | Buy | 76167→75671 | -3.71 | timeout |
| 04-29 20:48 | BTC | Sell | 76500→75744 | +4.49 | timeout |
| 04-29 06:55 | BTC | Buy | 76470→76919 | +2.49 | timeout |
| 04-27 11:15 | BTC | Sell | 78235→77738 | +2.73 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
41
closed
32%
win rate
-76.77
total pnl ($)
-37.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 41 | 32% | -37.4 | -76.77 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 22:35 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-25 05:01 | BTC | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:08 | BTC | Sell | -1.09 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight intraday weakness but holding weekly gains. The short thesis failed because the market lacked directional momentum to trigger a profitable exit before the timeout closed the trade at a sm… |
| 05-07 13:16 | BTC | Buy | -4.68 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional catalyst. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching an entry or exit, resulting in a small negative PnL from fees or slippage. |
| 05-04 14:48 | BTC | Sell | -9.74 | The market was in a strong uptrend with positive momentum, high open interest, and neutral funding rates. The thesis failed because the price breached the stop-loss level, indicating the anticipated reversal did not materialize as expected. |
| 04-30 06:48 | BTC | Buy | -3.71 | BTC was consolidating near resistance with a slight 1-hour uptick (+0.05%) but remained down 1.63% over 24 hours, suggesting weak conviction in any directional move as negative funding (-0.35 bps) indicated mild selling pressure. The thesis failed because t… |
| 04-29 20:48 | BTC | Sell | +4.49 | Bitcoin was grinding sideways near $75,757 with mild intraday strength (+0.40% hourly) despite a week of losses (-4.14% 7d), while funding rates remained constructive at 0.0518%. The trade's thesis failed because the daily pivot at $76,462 held as support r… |
| 04-27 11:15 | BTC | Sell | +2.73 | BTC was consolidating near session lows at $77,820 (down 0.30% over 24h) with minimal directional momentum in the final hour, as open interest remained elevated at $3.97B and funding rates turned slightly negative. The trade's thesis failed because the dail… |