74
closed trades
39%
win rate
-98.80
total pnl ($)
1.077
weight
7d window — n=8 wr=12% pnl=-22.94
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 74 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 15:26 | BTC | Sell | 59231→60337.2 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 22:44 | BTC | Sell | 60153→60858 | -6.34 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:19 | BTC | Sell | 62396.9→62749.1 | -3.29 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:27 | BTC | Sell | 64286.8→64051.2 | +1.38 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:06 | BTC | Buy | 64749.2→64706.8 | -0.79 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:54 | BTC | Sell | 64124.8→64146.2 | -0.64 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:22 | BTC | Buy | 64343.2→63982.8 | -3.29 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:33 | BTC | Buy | 63629.2→63661.8 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:27 | BTC | Sell | 62273.9→62805.1 | -4.73 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:05 | BTC | Buy | 65872.3→64647.4 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 14:21 | BTC | Sell | 65198.7→65229.3 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:31 | BTC | Buy | 66640.3→65401 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:14 | BTC | Sell | 66034.7→66467.3 | -3.74 | timeout |
| 06-15 18:46 | BTC | Buy | 66465.3→66815.7 | +2.16 | timeout |
| 06-15 08:15 | BTC | Buy | 65651.3→65713.7 | +0.03 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:26 | BTC | Sell | 63778.8→64984.7 | -9.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 14:35 | BTC | Buy | 63890.2→64163.8 | +1.68 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:00 | BTC | Buy | 64049.2→63435.8 | -5.25 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:59 | BTC | Sell | 62482.9→63646 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 10:58 | BTC | Buy | 62691.1→63100.8 | +2.78 | timeout |
| 06-09 18:46 | BTC | Sell | 62417.9→61636.1 | +5.83 | timeout |
| 06-09 06:23 | BTC | Sell | 62928.9→63474.2 | -4.77 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:02 | BTC | Buy | 63757.2→63457.8 | -2.81 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:13 | BTC | Sell | 61546.9→62693.5 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 12:42 | BTC | Buy | 62790.1→61621.1 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 07:08 | BTC | Buy | 61245.1→62164.9 | +7.07 | timeout |
| 06-05 16:21 | BTC | Sell | 60076→61199.6 | -9.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 12:01 | BTC | Sell | 62350.9→61813.1 | +3.87 | timeout |
| 06-04 00:54 | BTC | Sell | 65081.7→63005.2 | +15.50 | take_profit |
| 06-03 22:25 | BTC | Sell | 65634.7→65217.3 | +2.73 | timeout |
| 06-03 01:24 | BTC | Sell | 67078.6→66911.3 | +0.80 | timeout |
| 06-02 12:47 | BTC | Sell | 70116.5→69107.5 | +6.78 | timeout |
| 05-31 16:02 | BTC | Sell | 73797.3→73650.7 | +0.56 | timeout |
| 05-31 00:22 | BTC | Buy | 74040.7→73898.3 | -1.42 | timeout |
| 05-29 23:19 | BTC | Buy | 74221.7→73392.3 | -6.02 | timeout |
| 05-29 03:39 | BTC | Buy | 73765.7→73276.3 | -3.80 | timeout |
| 05-28 07:55 | BTC | Sell | 74242.3→73409.7 | +5.14 | timeout |
| 05-27 23:55 | BTC | Sell | 74848.3→74395.7 | +2.59 | timeout |
| 05-27 04:20 | BTC | Sell | 75734.2→75492.8 | +1.13 | timeout |
| 05-26 17:24 | BTC | Buy | 77539.9→76102.1 | -9.73 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 06:38 | BTC | Sell | 76978.2→76914.8 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 05-25 15:34 | BTC | Buy | 77565.9→77631.1 | -0.05 | timeout |
| 05-25 06:24 | BTC | Buy | 77197.9→77186.1 | -0.55 | timeout |
| 05-24 16:27 | BTC | Buy | 77147.9→76516.2 | -4.54 | timeout |
| 05-24 00:13 | BTC | Buy | 75688.8→76617.2 | +5.66 | timeout |
| 05-23 08:45 | BTC | Sell | 75461.2→74394.7 | +6.60 | timeout |
| 05-23 00:45 | BTC | Sell | 76507.2→75285.8 | +7.56 | timeout |
| 05-22 14:34 | BTC | Sell | 77411.1→76808.8 | +3.47 | timeout |
| 05-21 16:25 | BTC | Sell | 77385.1→77099.9 | +1.41 | timeout |
| 05-20 14:39 | BTC | Buy | 77477.9→77267.1 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 05-19 19:27 | BTC | Sell | 76573.2→76811.8 | -1.97 | timeout |
| 05-19 06:19 | BTC | Buy | 77179.9→76958.2 | -1.90 | timeout |
| 05-18 18:00 | BTC | Buy | 77262.9→76668.2 | -4.32 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.48 | timeout |
| 05-11 04:27 | BTC | Buy | 81387.1→80708 | -4.65 | timeout |
| 05-10 19:23 | BTC | Buy | 80967→81402.9 | +2.23 | timeout |
| 05-09 22:12 | BTC | Buy | 80537→80693 | +0.53 | timeout |
| 05-09 07:52 | BTC | Buy | 80406→80163 | -1.95 | timeout |
| 05-08 18:31 | BTC | Buy | 80179→80219 | -0.22 | timeout |
| 05-07 19:45 | BTC | Sell | 80602→80107 | +2.64 | timeout |
| 05-07 07:08 | BTC | Sell | 80822→81474.1 | -4.48 | timeout |
| 05-04 23:51 | BTC | Buy | 80474→79788 | -4.69 | timeout |
| 05-04 02:00 | BTC | Sell | 78437.1→79892.9 | -9.73 | stop_loss |
| 05-03 20:27 | BTC | Buy | 78632.9→78861.1 | +0.97 | timeout |
| 05-03 12:26 | BTC | Sell | 78032.1→78737.9 | -4.96 | timeout |
| 05-02 22:08 | BTC | Buy | 78453.9→78684.1 | +1.02 | timeout |
| 05-01 18:14 | BTC | Buy | 77519.9→78480.1 | +5.75 | timeout |
| 04-30 00:09 | BTC | Sell | 75456→75712 | -2.15 | timeout |
| 04-29 15:12 | BTC | Buy | 77607→76210 | -9.45 | stop_loss |
| 04-29 06:55 | BTC | Buy | 76470→76919 | +2.49 | timeout |
| 04-28 19:11 | BTC | Sell | 76075→76111 | -0.69 | timeout |
| 04-28 07:00 | BTC | Buy | 77342→76660 | -4.86 | timeout |
| 04-27 22:59 | BTC | Sell | 76527→77032 | -3.75 | timeout |
| 04-27 03:56 | BTC | Buy | 78402→79088 | +3.92 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
74
closed
39%
win rate
-98.80
total pnl ($)
-26.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 74 | 39% | -26.6 | -98.80 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 22:12 | BTC | Buy | +0.53 | The market was in a neutral-to-slightly bullish regime with low funding and moderate open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 05-09 07:52 | BTC | Buy | -1.95 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over 24h and 7d. The buy thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching a profitable exit, as the short-term bounce was insufficient to overcome the prevailing bearish momentum. |
| 05-08 18:31 | BTC | Buy | -0.22 | The market was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over the past week, with BTC showing slight hourly gains against a negative 24-hour and 7-day backdrop. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, meaning the… |
| 05-07 19:45 | BTC | Sell | +2.64 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down 1.70% over 24 hours and negative funding, indicating persistent bearish pressure. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected continuation materialized, as the price co… |
| 05-07 07:08 | BTC | Sell | -4.48 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.52% over 24 hours and negative momentum across major assets. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the slow, grinding decline did not… |
| 05-04 23:51 | BTC | Buy | -4.69 | The market was exhibiting low volatility with neutral funding rates and stable order flow during the observation window. The trade failed because the price did not reach the target within the allocated time, resulting in a timeout exit. |
| 05-02 22:08 | BTC | Buy | +1.02 | At close, BTC was trading near resistance with elevated open interest ($3.99B) and positive funding (0.14 bps), indicating sustained bullish positioning without a sharp breakout. The trade's thesis partially worked—the 3-bar consecutive higher-high continua… |
| 05-01 18:14 | BTC | Buy | +5.75 | BTC was consolidating near $78,573 with modest intraday momentum (+0.44% in the final hour) and sustained 24-hour strength (+2.88%), supporting continuation patterns in the 4-hour timeframe. The thesis partially worked—the three consecutive 4h higher highs … |
| 04-30 00:09 | BTC | Sell | -2.15 | BTC was consolidating with a slight downward bias over the 1-hour window (-0.12%) and 24-hour horizon (-0.82%), but the broader 7-day decline (-3.22%) had lost momentum, suggesting oversold conditions were attracting buyers into the entry zone. The 3-bar do… |
| 04-29 15:12 | BTC | Buy | -9.45 | BTC was consolidating weakness at $76,303 after a 3.51% weekly decline, with hourly momentum turning negative (-0.43% in the last hour) as funding rates turned sharply negative (-0.007625%), signaling capitulation among leveraged longs. The thesis failed be… |