btc_breakout_with_volume_follow

not live
73
closed trades
37%
win rate
-111.87
total pnl ($)
1.149
weight
7d window — n=9 wr=22% pnl=-12.67  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?


Cumulative P&L (last 73 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-25 14:08BTCSell58618.1→59417.7-7.27stop_loss
06-24 17:47BTCSell60428→59103+10.50take_profit
06-24 13:10BTCBuy62904.1→62047.9-7.26stop_loss
06-23 10:22BTCSell62685.9→62383.1+1.93timeout
06-22 16:06BTCBuy64745.2→64671.8-1.01timeout
06-22 05:28BTCBuy64608.2→64227.8-3.40timeout
06-22 00:51BTCSell63678.8→63723.2-0.79timeout
06-21 08:44BTCBuy64479.2→63927.8-4.75timeout
06-20 18:47BTCBuy63821.2→63798.8-0.62timeout
06-18 19:42BTCSell62701.9→62866.1-1.79timeout
06-18 08:56BTCSell63890.8→64402.2-4.45timeout
06-17 18:01BTCBuy66203.3→65300.1-7.28stop_loss
06-17 12:44BTCSell64911.8→64875.2-0.16timeout
06-16 18:03BTCSell65328.7→66219.4-7.25stop_loss
06-15 15:38BTCBuy66192.3→66741.7+3.70timeout
06-15 01:22BTCBuy64677.2→65388.7+5.05timeout
06-14 18:54BTCSell63922.8→63791.2+0.59timeout
06-14 01:49BTCBuy64481.2→64611.8+0.57timeout
06-12 16:03BTCBuy64336.2→63461.1-7.25stop_loss
06-11 21:35BTCBuy63147.2→63451.8+1.94timeout
06-10 17:45BTCBuy62235.1→61711.9-4.66timeout
06-09 16:39BTCSell62152.9→60785+10.57take_profit
06-07 22:23BTCBuy63774.2→62906.4-7.25stop_loss
06-07 05:49BTCBuy61475.1→61752.9+1.82timeout
06-05 19:46BTCSell59233→60040-7.26stop_loss
06-05 16:21BTCSell60687→61512.8-7.25stop_loss
06-05 07:27BTCSell61454.9→62294.2-7.28stop_loss
06-04 03:31BTCSell63323.8→64194.3-7.32stop_loss
06-03 21:49BTCSell64963.8→65850.2-7.27stop_loss
06-03 05:03BTCSell65901.7→66798.7-7.25stop_loss
06-02 20:52BTCSell66753.7→67669.2-7.31stop_loss
06-02 15:26BTCSell68860.6→67329.4+10.67take_profit
06-02 06:27BTCSell70609.5→70328.5+1.56timeout
06-01 17:24BTCSell71832.4→71542.6+1.59timeout
06-01 05:57BTCSell73297.3→73377.7-0.99timeout
05-31 18:25BTCSell73548.3→73630.7-1.00timeout
05-31 05:32BTCBuy74168.7→74126.3-0.75timeout
05-29 15:30BTCSell72822.4→73818.6-7.29stop_loss
05-28 18:18BTCSell73466.3→73651.7-1.69timeout
05-28 07:18BTCSell73491.3→73247.7+1.21timeout
05-28 01:43BTCSell74719.3→74251.7+2.68timeout
05-27 17:35BTCSell75151.2→74917.7+1.11timeout
05-27 08:53BTCSell75511.2→75825.8-2.56timeout
05-26 14:42BTCBuy77752.9→76691.8-7.27stop_loss
05-26 04:51BTCSell76717.2→76739.8-0.60timeout
05-24 14:16BTCBuy77125.9→76046.2-7.45stop_loss
05-24 00:32BTCBuy76225.8→76724.2+2.80timeout
05-23 11:50BTCSell74457.3→74762.7-2.50timeout
05-22 22:45BTCSell76507.2→75617.8+5.37timeout
05-22 18:24BTCSell76727.2→76871.8-1.38timeout
05-20 19:17BTCBuy77668.9→77371.1-2.38timeout
05-18 18:32BTCSell76491.2→76355.8+0.45timeout
05-16 10:56BTCSell78585.1→78589-0.46timeout
05-15 17:37BTCSell79552→79431+0.31timeout
05-12 02:43BTCSell81715.9→81724.1-0.49timeout
05-10 22:27BTCSell80367→81456.8-7.23stop_loss
05-10 19:09BTCBuy80974→81252.9+1.26timeout
05-09 20:44BTCBuy80589→80753+0.57timeout
05-07 17:54BTCSell80448→79933+2.76timeout
05-04 14:25BTCSell78260.1→79200-6.46timeout
05-04 05:57BTCBuy79369→79987+3.43timeout
05-04 00:38BTCBuy79068→78315.1-5.21timeout
05-03 01:38BTCBuy79074→78136.1-6.38timeout
05-01 16:32BTCBuy77797.9→78228.1+2.32timeout
05-01 07:26BTCBuy77273.9→76970.2-2.40timeout
04-29 19:51BTCSell75871→75452+2.31timeout
04-29 13:34BTCBuy77721→76710-6.95stop_loss
04-28 17:44BTCSell76258→76154+0.23timeout
04-27 19:20BTCSell76941→76768+0.67timeout
04-27 09:31BTCSell77714→77733-0.57timeout
04-27 04:54BTCBuy78898→78951-0.11timeout
04-26 22:39BTCBuy78132→78125-0.49timeout
04-26 09:15BTCBuy78075→77975-1.09timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
73
closed
37%
win rate
-111.87
total pnl ($)
-30.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC7337%-30.7-111.87

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-09 20:44BTCBuy+0.57BTC was in a low-volatility, sideways grind with neutral funding and mixed short-term momentum. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching target or stop, as the market lacked directional conviction to trigger an exit.
05-07 17:54BTCSell+2.76The market was in a mild downtrend with low volatility, as BTC edged lower across all timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, indicating the setup lacked sufficient momentum to trigger an …
05-04 14:25BTCSell-6.46The market was exhibiting low volatility with neutral funding rates and stable order flow during a period of consolidation. The trade failed because the anticipated move did not materialize within the allotted time, resulting in a timeout exit.
05-03 01:38BTCBuy-6.38BTC was consolidating near recent highs with minimal directional conviction, posting only +0.24% over 24h and +0.56% over 7d despite the breakout setup, while negative funding rates (-0.002572%) suggested weakening long positioning into the close. The thesi…
05-01 16:32BTCBuy+2.32BTC had printed a new 24-hour high at $77,798 entry with 1.58x above-average volume confirmation, then rallied modestly to $78,228 (+220 bps gross target achieved) before timing out after 4 hours as momentum stalled in a consolidating market (24h +2.52%, 1h…
05-01 07:26BTCBuy-2.40BTC was consolidating near the $76,970 level with minimal intraday momentum (−0.09% on the 1h) despite a modest 1.32% 24h gain, showing weakness after the initial breakout setup. The thesis failed because the 1.54x volume confirmation ratio that triggered t…
04-29 19:51BTCSell+2.31Bitcoin was consolidating slightly higher (+0.21% 1h) after a modest 24-hour decline (-1.00%), with elevated open interest ($3.68B) suggesting sustained short positioning. The trade's thesis failed because the volume confirmation signal (2.11x ratio vs. 1.5…
04-29 13:34BTCBuy-6.95BTC was consolidating lower in the hour preceding trade closure, down 0.86% in the prior hour while maintaining a flat 24h return, suggesting mean reversion pressure against the initial breakout momentum. The trade's thesis failed because the 1.51x volume c…
04-27 09:31BTCSell-0.57The Bitcoin market was consolidating near recent highs with a slight positive bias over the past hour (+0.35%) and week (+4.24%), while funding rates turned slightly negative (-0.002883%), indicating reduced leverage appetite despite elevated open interest …
04-27 04:54BTCBuy-0.11BTC was consolidating with a slight hourly decline (-0.47%) despite modest 24-hour gains, while funding rates remained elevated at 0.68% signaling continued long positioning. The breakout thesis failed because the entry at $78,898 on double volume confirmat…