88
closed trades
51%
win rate
-9.69
total pnl ($)
1.249
weight
7d window — n=11 wr=45% pnl=+0.19
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 88 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 06:22 | BTC | Buy | 60275→60165 | -1.36 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:19 | BTC | Buy | 59915→59956 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:59 | BTC | Sell | 59666→60142 | -4.43 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:45 | BTC | Sell | 58861.1→59662.8 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 00:06 | BTC | Buy | 59680→59813 | +0.65 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:09 | BTC | Sell | 59066→59871.9 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | BTC | Sell | 61306.9→59954 | +10.58 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:33 | BTC | Sell | 62057.9→60698 | +10.50 | take_profit |
| 06-23 10:19 | BTC | Sell | 63013.8→62415.1 | +4.27 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:39 | BTC | Buy | 64306.2→64613.8 | +1.92 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:22 | BTC | Sell | 63333.8→64197.3 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:58 | BTC | Buy | 63728.2→63397.8 | -3.05 | timeout |
| 06-19 11:40 | BTC | Sell | 62491.9→62610.1 | -1.41 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:15 | BTC | Sell | 62535.9→62742.1 | -2.11 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:28 | BTC | Sell | 63311.8→62768.1 | +3.81 | timeout |
| 06-18 07:27 | BTC | Sell | 64310.8→64222.2 | +0.24 | timeout |
| 06-16 10:36 | BTC | Buy | 66381.3→66615.7 | +1.31 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:32 | BTC | Sell | 65863.7→66313.3 | -3.87 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:47 | BTC | Buy | 67010.4→66619.7 | -3.38 | timeout |
| 06-15 01:22 | BTC | Buy | 64688.2→65388.7 | +4.96 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:34 | BTC | Sell | 63992.8→64239.2 | -2.37 | timeout |
| 06-12 18:30 | BTC | Buy | 63654.2→63734.8 | +0.18 | timeout |
| 06-12 09:39 | BTC | Sell | 63323.8→63827.2 | -4.41 | timeout |
| 06-11 12:47 | BTC | Buy | 62908.1→62896.9 | -0.56 | timeout |
| 06-11 01:19 | BTC | Sell | 61357.9→62196.2 | -7.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:24 | BTC | Sell | 62224.9→61846.1 | +2.60 | timeout |
| 06-09 21:18 | BTC | Buy | 61769.1→62016.9 | +1.57 | timeout |
| 06-09 12:55 | BTC | Sell | 62855.9→62572.1 | +1.80 | timeout |
| 06-09 02:14 | BTC | Sell | 63269.8→62718.1 | +3.91 | timeout |
| 06-08 13:19 | BTC | Buy | 63460.2→63719.8 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:09 | BTC | Sell | 63278.8→62605.1 | +4.87 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:13 | BTC | Sell | 61634.9→62474.3 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 12:30 | BTC | Buy | 62714.1→61847 | -7.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 03:42 | BTC | Buy | 60870→61566.9 | +5.27 | timeout |
| 06-06 14:19 | BTC | Sell | 60519→60910 | -3.68 | timeout |
| 06-06 07:33 | BTC | Sell | 60546→60911 | -3.46 | timeout |
| 06-06 02:07 | BTC | Sell | 61263.9→60880 | +2.68 | timeout |
| 06-05 07:28 | BTC | Sell | 61470.9→62309.3 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 20:32 | BTC | Sell | 63478.8→63472.2 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-04 13:12 | BTC | Sell | 63338.8→63684.2 | -3.19 | timeout |
| 06-04 07:08 | BTC | Buy | 63903.2→63781.8 | -1.41 | timeout |
| 06-03 19:19 | BTC | Sell | 66358.7→65903.3 | +2.99 | timeout |
| 06-03 08:25 | BTC | Buy | 66463.3→66995.7 | +3.53 | timeout |
| 06-03 02:17 | BTC | Sell | 67019.6→66869.3 | +0.67 | timeout |
| 06-02 13:29 | BTC | Sell | 69297.5→68992.4 | +1.76 | timeout |
| 06-02 09:50 | BTC | Sell | 70440.5→69485.5 | +6.35 | timeout |
| 06-02 01:36 | BTC | Sell | 71093.4→70924.5 | +0.76 | timeout |
| 06-01 04:29 | BTC | Buy | 73916.7→73370.3 | -4.15 | timeout |
| 05-28 05:41 | BTC | Sell | 74196.3→72999.6 | +7.62 | timeout |
| 05-28 01:40 | BTC | Sell | 74828.3→74231.7 | +3.54 | timeout |
| 05-26 14:24 | BTC | Sell | 76762.2→77807.8 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 04:40 | BTC | Sell | 76913.2→76721.8 | +0.79 | timeout |
| 05-25 06:06 | BTC | Buy | 77121.9→77315.1 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 05-25 02:03 | BTC | Buy | 76523.8→77012.1 | +2.73 | timeout |
| 05-24 17:55 | BTC | Sell | 76747.2→76669.8 | +0.06 | timeout |
| 05-23 22:19 | BTC | Buy | 75728.8→76652.2 | +5.64 | timeout |
| 05-23 17:49 | BTC | Buy | 75086.8→75373.2 | +1.44 | timeout |
| 05-22 18:19 | BTC | Sell | 76901.2→76866.8 | -0.21 | timeout |
| 05-21 21:15 | BTC | Buy | 77672.9→77751.1 | +0.04 | timeout |
| 05-21 04:50 | BTC | Buy | 77941.9→77974.1 | -0.26 | timeout |
| 05-20 17:33 | BTC | Sell | 77213.1→77529.9 | -2.48 | timeout |
| 05-20 09:11 | BTC | Buy | 77231.9→77421.1 | +0.76 | timeout |
| 05-19 05:25 | BTC | Sell | 76858.2→76662.8 | +0.83 | timeout |
| 05-18 22:20 | BTC | Sell | 76309.2→77179.9 | -6.14 | timeout |
| 05-18 14:17 | BTC | Buy | 77618.9→76557.9 | -7.29 | stop_loss |
| 05-16 10:50 | BTC | Sell | 78474.1→78478 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 05-15 17:29 | BTC | Sell | 79974→79414 | +3.05 | timeout |
| 05-15 11:27 | BTC | Buy | 80960→80573 | -2.84 | timeout |
| 05-12 02:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.49 | timeout |
| 05-11 07:14 | BTC | Sell | 80703→80757 | -0.77 | timeout |
| 05-10 22:33 | BTC | Sell | 80912→82009.1 | -7.23 | stop_loss |
| 05-08 18:16 | BTC | Buy | 80050→80160 | +0.22 | timeout |
| 05-07 17:38 | BTC | Sell | 80681→79823 | +4.88 | timeout |
| 05-06 17:47 | BTC | Sell | 81777.9→81466.1 | +1.45 | timeout |
| 05-06 10:17 | BTC | Buy | 80313→82075.9 | +10.45 | take_profit |
| 05-04 21:11 | BTC | Buy | 80378→80094 | -2.20 | timeout |
| 05-04 14:27 | BTC | Sell | 78374.1→79293 | -6.32 | timeout |
| 05-04 10:27 | BTC | Sell | 79545→78381.9 | +6.86 | timeout |
| 05-04 02:14 | BTC | Buy | 79193→79895 | +3.97 | timeout |
| 05-03 15:49 | BTC | Buy | 78777.9→78630.1 | -1.40 | timeout |
| 05-03 01:38 | BTC | Buy | 79074→78136.1 | -6.38 | timeout |
| 05-01 17:11 | BTC | Buy | 78248.9→78184.1 | -0.86 | timeout |
| 05-01 07:20 | BTC | Buy | 77008.9→77032.1 | -0.29 | timeout |
| 04-30 08:32 | BTC | Sell | 75513→76038.8 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 04-29 16:21 | BTC | Sell | 77112→75791 | +8.12 | timeout |
| 04-29 07:37 | BTC | Buy | 76961→77095 | +0.42 | timeout |
| 04-28 18:27 | BTC | Sell | 75757→76195 | -3.34 | timeout |
| 04-27 19:15 | BTC | Sell | 77289→76853 | +2.37 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
88
closed
51%
win rate
-9.69
total pnl ($)
-2.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 88 | 51% | -2.1 | -9.69 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 18:16 | BTC | Buy | +0.22 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with low volatility and neutral funding. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching target or stop, as the sideways chop prevented any meaningful directional … |
| 05-07 17:38 | BTC | Sell | +4.88 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down across all timeframes and neutral funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the anticipated move materialized, as the slow, grinding decline did not trigger an exit signal. |
| 05-06 17:47 | BTC | Sell | +1.45 | BTC was in a mild downtrend across all timeframes with low volatility and neutral funding. The short thesis failed to capture meaningful downside as the market remained range-bound, leading to a timeout exit with minimal profit. |
| 05-06 10:17 | BTC | Buy | +10.45 | BTC was in a mild downtrend across timeframes with negative funding, but the trade captured a short-term bounce. The thesis succeeded because the take-profit was hit as a local reversal occurred within the broader bearish context. |
| 05-04 21:11 | BTC | Buy | -2.20 | The market was in a tight consolidation phase with neutral funding rates and flat momentum, creating an environment prone to low volatility. The trade failed because the thesis could not generate sufficient movement before the position was forcibly closed d… |
| 05-04 14:27 | BTC | Sell | -6.32 | The market was exhibiting low volatility with minimal funding rates and stable open interest around the $81,514 level. The trade failed because the thesis did not materialize within the allotted time, resulting in a closure due to timeout. |
| 05-03 01:38 | BTC | Buy | -6.38 | # Trade Analysis: BTC Belt Hold Continuation Bitcoin was consolidating near $78,500 with minimal directional momentum (1h/24h changes under 0.25%), while negative funding rates (-0.0026%) signaled weakening long positioning despite elevated open interest o… |
| 05-01 17:11 | BTC | Buy | -0.86 | On close, Bitcoin had consolidated near $78,251 with mild hourly weakness (-0.10%) despite a +2.82% 24-hour gain, showing exhaustion after the broader rally. The bullish belt hold signal failed because the candle's extreme close positioning (0.89 of range) … |
| 05-01 07:20 | BTC | Buy | -0.29 | Bitcoin was consolidating within a tight range near $77,050 with minimal 1-hour directional momentum (-0.04%), failing to sustain the intraday rally that had driven the 24h gain of +1.67%. The bullish belt-hold continuation signal—triggered by the 0.74% bod… |
| 04-30 08:32 | BTC | Sell | -3.95 | Bitcoin was trading flat to slightly up in the hour before close ($76,061, +0.11% 1h) after a weak 24-hour period (-1.23%), showing no momentum to validate a bearish setup. The trade's bearish belt hold signal—based on a close at the extreme low (0.00 of ra… |