btc_30d_twap_reversion

not live
9
closed trades
67%
win rate
+10.80
total pnl ($)
1.214
weight
7d window — n=1 wr=100% pnl=+0.26  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-19 02:55:55 (35.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: cn
n: 15  ·  wr: 26.7%  ·  total_bps: -396.7  ·  mean_bps: -26.45  ·  sharpe: -0.56  ·  max_dd_bps: -486.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 9 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-18 06:04BTCBuy63939.2→64030.8+0.26timeout
06-15 11:24BTCSell65665.7→66308.3-5.35timeout
06-09 23:27BTCBuy61358.1→62016.9+4.94timeout
06-06 12:32BTCBuy59707→60657+7.53timeout
06-04 02:01BTCBuy63276.2→61971.9-10.76stop_loss
05-27 11:50BTCBuy75616.8→75737.2+0.39timeout
05-23 15:51BTCBuy74369.7→75485.2+7.05timeout
05-15 21:41BTCBuy79232→79059-1.52timeout
04-30 02:10BTCBuy74963→76268+8.25timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
9
closed
67%
win rate
+10.80
total pnl ($)
+23.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC967%+23.8+10.80

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
04-30 02:10BTCBuy+8.25# Trade Analysis: BTC 30D TWAP Reversion BTC was trading flat to slightly negative in the hour before close ($76,240, +0.07% 1h, -0.38% 24h) with modest negative pressure on the weekly timeframe (-2.70% 7d), indicating consolidation after a recent decline.…