53
closed trades
43%
win rate
-20.49
total pnl ($)
1.312
weight
7d window — n=8 wr=25% pnl=+11.76
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 53 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 18:01 | BTC | Sell | 64557.8→64667.2 | -1.28 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:10 | BTC | Buy | 63600.2→64023.8 | +2.86 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:32 | BTC | Sell | 64262.8→64505.2 | -2.34 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:27 | BTC | Sell | 63301.8→63283.2 | -0.29 | timeout |
| 06-18 04:13 | BTC | Buy | 64167.2→63966.8 | -2.02 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:03 | BTC | Sell | 66081.7→63972.2 | +15.51 | take_profit |
| 06-17 14:35 | BTC | Buy | 65125.3→65160.7 | -0.18 | timeout |
| 06-16 20:19 | BTC | Buy | 65739.3→65735.7 | -0.50 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:26 | BTC | Sell | 66928.7→66567.3 | +2.27 | timeout |
| 06-15 03:39 | BTC | Sell | 64932.8→65720.3 | -6.51 | timeout |
| 06-14 20:36 | BTC | Buy | 63965.2→64023.8 | +0.00 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:42 | BTC | Sell | 64301.8→64602.2 | -2.78 | timeout |
| 06-11 10:51 | BTC | Sell | 62782.9→63040.2 | -2.46 | timeout |
| 06-10 19:46 | BTC | Sell | 62249.9→61915.1 | +2.26 | timeout |
| 06-09 20:24 | BTC | Buy | 61754.1→62016.9 | +1.69 | timeout |
| 06-09 06:51 | BTC | Buy | 62442.1→63248.8 | +6.00 | timeout |
| 06-07 08:06 | BTC | Sell | 61481.9→62271.1 | -6.89 | timeout |
| 06-05 18:52 | BTC | Buy | 60551→59425.3 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:23 | BTC | Buy | 62362.1→61175.3 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 00:26 | BTC | Buy | 64972.2→63763.9 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 19:33 | BTC | Buy | 67773.4→66513.4 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 10:18 | BTC | Buy | 72954.6→73447.3 | +2.93 | timeout |
| 05-28 04:02 | BTC | Buy | 74260.7→72878.9 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 20:08 | BTC | Buy | 74997.7→75221.2 | +1.02 | timeout |
| 05-26 20:27 | BTC | Sell | 78023.1→76075.8 | +12.05 | timeout |
| 05-26 07:02 | BTC | Buy | 76655.8→76869.2 | +0.94 | timeout |
| 05-25 11:17 | BTC | Sell | 77385.1→77394.9 | -0.49 | timeout |
| 05-25 03:46 | BTC | Buy | 76063.8→76980.2 | +5.56 | timeout |
| 05-24 02:31 | BTC | Sell | 76048.2→76760.8 | -5.12 | timeout |
| 05-23 13:50 | BTC | Buy | 74964.7→75107.2 | +0.50 | timeout |
| 05-23 02:32 | BTC | Buy | 75819.8→75459.2 | -2.83 | timeout |
| 05-22 20:23 | BTC | Buy | 76815.8→75889.2 | -6.50 | timeout |
| 05-21 07:15 | BTC | Sell | 78093.1→77572.9 | +2.90 | timeout |
| 05-20 11:12 | BTC | Sell | 77212.1→77504.9 | -2.32 | timeout |
| 05-18 21:01 | BTC | Buy | 76301.8→76818.2 | +2.91 | timeout |
| 05-18 05:09 | BTC | Buy | 77736.9→76981.2 | -5.34 | timeout |
| 05-17 16:03 | BTC | Sell | 78231.1→78043.9 | +0.75 | timeout |
| 05-15 19:38 | BTC | Buy | 79323→79113 | -1.76 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 05-11 05:00 | BTC | Sell | 82151.9→80800 | +7.80 | timeout |
| 05-10 21:02 | BTC | Sell | 81009.9→80908 | +0.19 | timeout |
| 05-09 23:06 | BTC | Sell | 80644→80720 | -0.93 | timeout |
| 05-07 20:36 | BTC | Buy | 80169→80040 | -1.28 | timeout |
| 05-04 08:10 | BTC | Sell | 79896→79711 | +0.72 | timeout |
| 05-03 08:20 | BTC | Buy | 78114.9→78422.1 | +1.54 | timeout |
| 05-02 22:09 | BTC | Sell | 78490.1→78707.9 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 05-01 19:00 | BTC | Sell | 77973.1→78393.9 | -3.16 | timeout |
| 04-29 22:31 | BTC | Buy | 75844→75832 | -0.53 | timeout |
| 04-29 16:30 | BTC | Sell | 77844→75844 | +12.40 | timeout |
| 04-29 10:24 | BTC | Sell | 77000→77730 | -5.19 | timeout |
| 04-28 20:28 | BTC | Buy | 75757→76321 | +3.27 | timeout |
| 04-27 12:03 | BTC | Buy | 77759→77707 | -0.78 | timeout |
| 04-27 06:03 | BTC | Sell | 78813→77759 | +6.24 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
53
closed
43%
win rate
-20.49
total pnl ($)
-7.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 53 | 43% | -7.8 | -20.49 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 12:22 | BTC | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-21 21:38 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 23:06 | BTC | Sell | -0.93 | BTC was trading in a narrow, low-volatility range with minimal directional bias across timeframes. The sell thesis failed because the market lacked the momentum to trigger a profitable exit before the timeout, resulting in a small loss from funding costs. |
| 05-07 20:36 | BTC | Buy | -1.28 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional bias. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching an exit, as the lack of volatility prevented the expected move from materializing. |
| 05-02 22:09 | BTC | Sell | -1.84 | Bitcoin had risen 90% through its 24-hour range and was consolidating near the top after three consecutive 4-hour closes higher, creating the appearance of exhaustion that triggered the fade signal. The thesis failed because the market lacked sufficient sel… |
| 05-01 19:00 | BTC | Sell | -3.16 | Bitcoin rallied 2.81% over 24 hours and pushed to $78,507 at close, breaking above the 24h range high of $78,137 that had triggered the exhaustion fade signal. The short thesis failed because the three consecutive rising 4-hour closes that preceded entry we… |
| 04-29 22:31 | BTC | Buy | -0.53 | BTC consolidated sideways in the hour before timeout (1h +0.05%) after a 24h decline of -0.57%, with funding rates deeply negative (-0.0873%) signaling crowded long positions and weak conviction. The fade thesis failed because the 24h range exhaustion signa… |
| 04-29 16:30 | BTC | Sell | +12.40 | BTC closed at $75,805 after a week-long 4.14% decline, with the 1-hour candle down 0.51%, showing persistent downside pressure in an already weakened market. The fade thesis succeeded because the entry captured the exhaustion of the 24h range-top drive—the … |
| 04-29 10:24 | BTC | Sell | -5.19 | Bitcoin continued its intraday rally, posting +0.84% over the preceding hour and +1.67% over 24 hours, pushing price to $77,838 as the short fade exhausted its 6-hour timeout window. The trade's thesis failed because the 24h range exhaustion signal (price a… |
| 04-27 12:03 | BTC | Buy | -0.78 | At close, BTC was trading near session lows ($77,707) with negligible 1h momentum (-0.03%) and slight 24h weakness (-0.39%), while funding rates turned negative (-0.37%), signaling reduced leverage appetite. The thesis failed because the 24h range exhaustio… |
| 04-27 06:03 | BTC | Sell | +6.24 | Bitcoin had pulled back to $77,728 over the prior hour (-1.26%), retreating from the intraday high after a strong 7-day rally of 4.65%. The thesis worked because price closed near the bottom of the 24-hour range (94th percentile high, now trading near the l… |