234
closed trades
41%
win rate
-166.10
total pnl ($)
0.505
weight
7d window — n=53 wr=42% pnl=-119.39
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-21 13:33:12 (38.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
asl
n: 65
· wr: 46.2%
· total_bps: -541.4
· mean_bps: -8.33
· sharpe: -0.05
· max_dd_bps: -2075.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 12:06 | RENDER | Sell | 1.5994→1.55779 | +12.56 | timeout |
| 06-28 11:56 | LTC | Sell | 42.2284→43.2925 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-28 00:09 | NEAR | Sell | 1.87423→1.93145 | -15.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 22:16 | SUI | Sell | 0.709143→0.67818 | +21.20 | take_profit |
| 06-27 19:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.9769→71.1677 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:03 | LINK | Buy | 7.36854→7.44334 | +4.62 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:16 | BLUR | Sell | 0.0147813→0.0151554 | -13.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 11:16 | DOT | Buy | 0.860005→0.838371 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 01:03 | XLM | Buy | 0.179695→0.175189 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 16:04 | TRX | Buy | 0.322851→0.31966 | -5.39 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.1585→63.7198 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | BNB | Buy | 568.082→553.764 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82015→1.77457 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63701→1.5944 | -13.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:39 | SOL | Buy | 70.4966→68.7493 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:07 | UNI | Sell | 2.85529→2.92799 | -13.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:02 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0731073→0.0711996 | -13.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | INJ | Buy | 4.32868→4.21754 | -13.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.596649→0.581364 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.2991→67.9451 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.7875→63.3365 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:17 | XMR | Sell | 314.561→299.985 | +22.72 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:59 | KAS | Sell | 0.027808→0.0265566 | +22.05 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | ICP | Sell | 2.23624→2.13873 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:47 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0753858→0.0734978 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60284→61770 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:07 | SOL | Sell | 67.2209→68.9018 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1595.64→1635.08 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | INJ | Sell | 4.31542→4.12713 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | BLUR | Sell | 0.0154001→0.0147217 | +21.58 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | BCH | Sell | 193.872→185.286 | +21.69 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:48 | OP | Sell | 0.101984→0.0974844 | +21.56 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:42 | AAVE | Buy | 76.206→74.2843 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:06 | ETH | Sell | 1658.53→1679.37 | -6.72 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:05 | DOGE | Sell | 0.079789→0.0789217 | +4.84 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:04 | LINK | Sell | 7.63999→7.6099 | +1.44 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:04 | BTC | Sell | 62796.9→62661.1 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:08 | BNB | Sell | 591.322→576.794 | +11.97 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:15 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0827863→0.0791798 | +21.32 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | ETC | Buy | 7.15819→6.97297 | -13.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | RENDER | Buy | 1.62311→1.58251 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.15851→0.15958 | +3.06 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:05 | LINK | Buy | 7.86867→7.89473 | +1.16 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:54 | XMR | Sell | 319.93→328.056 | -13.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 00:11 | AAVE | Buy | 74.3686→75.1252 | +4.64 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:27 | ETH | Buy | 1767.48→1723.57 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:09 | SOL | Buy | 73.9811→72.7411 | -8.91 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:06 | UNI | Buy | 3.00775→3.01115 | +0.11 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:05 | LINK | Sell | 7.96151→7.86797 | +5.52 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1710.33→1752.65 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 00:09 | HBAR | Sell | 0.0804829→0.0781795 | +13.86 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:06 | INJ | Buy | 4.99175→4.95906 | -3.61 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:07 | BTC | Buy | 63997.2→64164.8 | +0.88 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:45 | ACE | Buy | 0.0905226→0.0944764 | +21.39 | take_profit |
| 06-21 04:05 | XLM | Buy | 0.212323→0.214426 | +4.50 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:05 | RENDER | Sell | 1.74466→1.70273 | +11.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:05 | ETC | Sell | 7.6174→7.44556 | +10.83 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:05 | HBAR | Sell | 0.080146→0.080205 | -0.82 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:16 | ACE | Buy | 0.0849212→0.0827379 | -13.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 11:31 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0131967→0.0135301 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 20:06 | BNB | Sell | 579.365→579.675 | -0.94 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:05 | XRP | Sell | 1.14221→1.13498 | +2.72 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:04 | ETH | Sell | 1686.83→1705.57 | -6.00 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:04 | SOL | Sell | 68.6947→69.2794 | -4.79 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:04 | BTC | Sell | 62479.9→63139.2 | -5.79 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:01 | ARB | Sell | 0.0818295→0.0839029 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:53 | SOL | Sell | 71.7872→68.6453 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:53 | LINK | Buy | 7.9984→7.79715 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1773.12→1695.37 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.165351→0.161209 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.73532→6.43901 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:11 | BNB | Buy | 605.541→590.357 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 03:57 | DOT | Sell | 1.02624→0.981485 | +21.36 | take_profit |
| 06-17 19:38 | SUI | Buy | 0.795519→0.775298 | -13.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64845.8→66443.5 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 12:43 | UNI | Sell | 3.26748→3.34961 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:56 | XMR | Buy | 352.948→344.102 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:02 | LINK | Sell | 8.28993→8.28147 | +0.19 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:46 | DOT | Sell | 1.00115→1.02637 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 217.706→223.227 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 17:49 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0129932→0.0135666 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-16 14:33 | HYPE | Buy | 75.1058→73.227 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:31 | OP | Buy | 0.108147→0.105431 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 09:26 | NEAR | Sell | 2.45269→2.51559 | -13.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82509→6.99684 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:24 | XLM | Sell | 0.214046→0.219465 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:18 | SOL | Buy | 75.1293→73.2644 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.26232→1.23078 | -12.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 00:09 | LTC | Sell | 45.3607→45.8014 | -5.20 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1840.68→1795.12 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:22 | LINK | Buy | 8.53833→8.32495 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 13:16 | UNI | Buy | 2.59635→2.70962 | +21.36 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1728.27→1804.42 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:08 | ETC | Buy | 7.28342→7.605 | +21.63 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1851→1.23679 | +21.34 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:50 | BCH | Sell | 203.349→208.516 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:40 | ADA | Sell | 0.169658→0.174 | -13.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:36 | ONDO | Buy | 0.345826→0.36093 | +21.39 | take_profit |
| 06-14 20:10 | DOT | Sell | 0.978425→0.950838 | +13.65 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:08 | SOL | Buy | 68.2402→67.4819 | -5.85 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
234
closed
41%
win rate
-166.10
total pnl ($)
-14.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 16 | 31% | -98.7 | -78.52 |
| ETH | 14 | 43% | +9.6 | +7.07 |
| LINK | 13 | 62% | -40.8 | -26.25 |
| XRP | 10 | 40% | -20.5 | -9.51 |
| BTC | 10 | 40% | -87.1 | -43.47 |
| SUI | 9 | 56% | +98.6 | +44.25 |
| BNB | 9 | 33% | -55.2 | -24.87 |
| DOGE | 8 | 62% | +52.8 | +21.29 |
| LTC | 7 | 43% | -47.5 | -16.61 |
| HYPE | 7 | 43% | +34.7 | +12.16 |
| ADA | 7 | 29% | -72.0 | -24.69 |
| UNI | 7 | 43% | -18.7 | -6.54 |
| DOT | 7 | 43% | -12.9 | -4.52 |
| NEAR | 6 | 33% | -40.6 | -12.38 |
| INJ | 6 | 33% | -2.3 | -0.87 |
| APT | 6 | 0% | -197.7 | -59.16 |
| HBAR | 6 | 33% | -75.6 | -22.69 |
| RENDER | 6 | 50% | +21.6 | +6.47 |
| ACE | 5 | 40% | +10.8 | +2.70 |
| ARB | 5 | 20% | -92.7 | -22.95 |
| BCH | 5 | 40% | +15.4 | +3.84 |
| OP | 5 | 40% | +16.4 | +3.96 |
| XMR | 5 | 60% | +158.4 | +39.59 |
| ETC | 5 | 40% | +1.3 | +0.32 |
| KAS | 5 | 60% | +160.3 | +40.07 |
| AAVE | 5 | 60% | -63.5 | -15.88 |
| XLM | 5 | 20% | -191.8 | -47.95 |
| ICP | 4 | 25% | -90.9 | -18.19 |
| SAGA | 4 | 50% | +82.4 | +16.48 |
| ONDO | 4 | 75% | +254.2 | +50.83 |
| TRX | 4 | 50% | +7.4 | +1.47 |
| BLUR | 4 | 75% | +191.1 | +38.21 |
| AVAX | 4 | 50% | +1.4 | +0.13 |
| ATOM | 3 | 33% | -37.9 | -5.66 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| FIL | 2 | 50% | -100.7 | -10.07 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 04:12 | LTC | Sell | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 00:10 | AVAX | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||