214
closed trades
39%
win rate
+9.31
total pnl ($)
0.919
weight
7d window — n=42 wr=33% pnl=-50.66
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-21 13:33:12 (37.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
asl
n: 114
· wr: 38.6%
· total_bps: -2062.7
· mean_bps: -18.09
· sharpe: -0.09
· max_dd_bps: -4014.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 00:44 | DOT | Buy | 0.827647→0.809008 | -11.71 | timeout |
| 06-27 17:02 | INJ | Sell | 5.03084→4.8088 | +21.58 | take_profit |
| 06-27 16:06 | BNB | Buy | 562.151→564.829 | +1.83 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:04 | TRX | Buy | 0.322761→0.32038 | -4.14 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.1515→63.7088 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82046→1.77367 | -13.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:40 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63841→1.5967 | -13.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:02 | TRX | Buy | 0.325661→0.322289 | -5.63 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.04406→1.01794 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:08 | DOT | Buy | 0.844241→0.823022 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.596649→0.581364 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.337→67.9842 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:02 | OP | Sell | 0.103284→0.105889 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.6706→63.2144 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:58 | NEAR | Sell | 1.90602→1.82266 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:47 | XRP | Sell | 1.09233→1.04436 | +21.38 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076209→0.0743042 | -12.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:43 | SUI | Buy | 0.699865→0.682268 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:11 | INJ | Buy | 4.26377→4.15268 | -13.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60271→61762 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1594.24→1633.78 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 22:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.673881→0.690758 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | LINK | Sell | 7.63999→7.30293 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | SOL | Sell | 69.8505→66.771 | +21.62 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:33 | BNB | Sell | 591.212→565.371 | +21.34 | take_profit |
| 06-24 14:00 | DOGE | Sell | 0.080124→0.0766272 | +21.29 | take_profit |
| 06-24 10:15 | ADA | Sell | 0.153322→0.146637 | +21.14 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:17 | ETH | Sell | 1723.53→1646.86 | +21.73 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.15829→0.154284 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.87027→7.67324 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:50 | XRP | Buy | 1.14629→1.11756 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 00:51 | XMR | Sell | 319.39→327.435 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | ETH | Buy | 1763.78→1720.17 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 21:39 | KAS | Buy | 0.0301395→0.029346 | -13.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 11:35 | SUI | Buy | 0.701435→0.732217 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-22 04:09 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0835661→0.0830508 | +2.58 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:09 | BTC | Buy | 63998.2→63919.8 | -1.13 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1713.73→1756.65 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 01:26 | SOL | Buy | 71.6958→74.8288 | +21.34 | take_profit |
| 06-22 01:26 | APT | Sell | 0.656836→0.673305 | -12.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:50 | NEAR | Sell | 2.23154→2.13403 | +21.38 | take_profit |
| 06-21 16:04 | ADA | Sell | 0.162169→0.162181 | -0.49 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:12 | ARB | Sell | 0.0833791→0.0835109 | -1.03 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:07 | XRP | Buy | 1.13698→1.14841 | +4.35 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:05 | NEAR | Buy | 2.16794→2.11331 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:05 | ARB | Buy | 0.0843311→0.0822083 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:06 | BNB | Sell | 579.415→586.827 | -6.62 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:05 | BTC | Sell | 62522.9→63402.2 | -7.51 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:09 | BNB | Sell | 590.992→579.855 | +8.64 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:47 | DOT | Buy | 0.969222→0.944311 | -13.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 01:04 | ADA | Sell | 0.16063→0.164683 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:53 | APT | Sell | 0.648038→0.619655 | +21.33 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1772.92→1694.97 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:37 | DOT | Sell | 0.99874→0.954699 | +21.60 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.73712→6.43901 | +21.58 | take_profit |
| 06-18 05:03 | SUI | Sell | 0.775106→0.741085 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:01 | DOT | Sell | 1.02394→0.979325 | +21.34 | take_profit |
| 06-17 19:39 | ICP | Buy | 2.4116→2.35024 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:27 | BCH | Sell | 211.777→217.163 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:09 | BNB | Sell | 614.096→606.492 | +5.97 | timeout |
| 06-17 15:48 | FIL | Sell | 0.802609→0.823187 | -13.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087942→0.0857427 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:07 | BTC | Buy | 66537.3→65408.7 | -8.88 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:49 | SUI | Sell | 0.794661→0.814941 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 01:41 | UNI | Buy | 3.31453→3.46003 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 217.706→223.227 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82279→6.99354 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:29 | ONDO | Sell | 0.370967→0.380265 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:29 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0130233→0.0126805 | -13.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | SOL | Buy | 75.0373→73.1754 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1842.48→1796.92 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOT | Buy | 1.04366→1.01704 | -13.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 18:31 | APT | Buy | 0.712578→0.694579 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.23051→1.28428 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-15 15:38 | SOL | Buy | 71.2707→74.3898 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1727.87→1803.62 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863216→0.0900765 | +21.17 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1835→1.23499 | +21.28 | take_profit |
| 06-15 11:20 | AVAX | Sell | 6.76011→6.92959 | -12.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 04:08 | BTC | Buy | 64027.2→65733.7 | +12.83 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:06 | ETH | Buy | 1676.87→1724.53 | +13.66 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:50 | BCH | Sell | 203.349→208.506 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 20:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.762931→0.748643 | -9.80 | timeout |
| 06-14 12:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.173373→0.169043 | -12.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 08:02 | LTC | Buy | 42.9807→43.993 | +11.59 | timeout |
| 06-13 12:57 | XRP | Sell | 1.12672→1.15507 | -12.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 08:32 | OP | Sell | 0.106503→0.109222 | -13.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 08:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.14159→1.14061 | -1.10 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:47 | AAVE | Sell | 64.1929→65.8063 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 06:10 | OP | Sell | 0.100275→0.102977 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 22:25 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0126168→0.0129397 | -13.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 16:04 | LTC | Sell | 42.7513→42.8557 | -1.59 | timeout |
| 06-12 16:03 | BTC | Buy | 62603.1→63596.8 | +7.34 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0850012→0.0887158 | +21.22 | take_profit |
| 06-12 11:13 | BLUR | Buy | 0.0177334→0.0185094 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-11 18:00 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0122669→0.0125994 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 11:30 | ETH | Sell | 1626.04→1666.3 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 10:55 | BTC | Sell | 61674.9→63201.7 | -12.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | AVAX | Sell | 6.3903→6.55992 | -13.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | LINK | Sell | 7.57271→7.78984 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
214
closed
39%
win rate
+9.31
total pnl ($)
+0.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP | 15 | 47% | +44.5 | +33.26 |
| SOL | 12 | 50% | +41.0 | +24.93 |
| ETH | 12 | 50% | +46.4 | +27.61 |
| BTC | 12 | 42% | -5.4 | -2.94 |
| LINK | 11 | 45% | +49.9 | +27.36 |
| SUI | 11 | 36% | -4.2 | -2.22 |
| ADA | 10 | 30% | -29.4 | -14.58 |
| DOGE | 10 | 60% | +131.8 | +65.97 |
| DOT | 9 | 33% | -1.5 | -0.66 |
| AVAX | 8 | 25% | -123.8 | -49.75 |
| LTC | 8 | 12% | -152.0 | -60.51 |
| BNB | 8 | 62% | +66.3 | +26.51 |
| NEAR | 7 | 57% | +132.3 | +46.42 |
| OP | 6 | 0% | -264.4 | -79.28 |
| APT | 5 | 40% | +14.7 | +3.63 |
| ARB | 5 | 0% | -214.1 | -53.09 |
| TRX | 5 | 40% | -27.4 | -6.86 |
| ACE | 4 | 25% | -105.3 | -21.06 |
| ATOM | 4 | 25% | -63.1 | -12.74 |
| BCH | 4 | 25% | -89.8 | -17.96 |
| INJ | 4 | 50% | +84.2 | +16.81 |
| ONDO | 4 | 75% | +256.0 | +51.20 |
| UNI | 4 | 75% | +254.9 | +50.97 |
| ICP | 4 | 75% | +257.2 | +51.44 |
| HYPE | 4 | 25% | -85.4 | -17.08 |
| SAGA | 4 | 25% | -92.5 | -18.50 |
| FIL | 3 | 33% | -157.7 | -23.66 |
| BLUR | 3 | 67% | +154.9 | +23.23 |
| ETC | 2 | 0% | -281.4 | -28.14 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| RENDER | 2 | 50% | +83.5 | +8.35 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| KAS | 2 | 50% | +82.8 | +8.28 |
| AAVE | 2 | 0% | -259.6 | -25.96 |
| XMR | 2 | 0% | -260.1 | -26.01 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| XLM | 1 | 100% | +432.7 | +21.63 |
| HBAR | 1 | 0% | -262.3 | -13.11 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||