98
closed trades
45%
win rate
-141.33
total pnl ($)
0.835
weight
7d window — n=24 wr=42% pnl=-45.71
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-23 16:11:21 (30.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
awn
n: 46
· wr: 32.6%
· total_bps: -1022.1
· mean_bps: -22.22
· sharpe: -0.24
· max_dd_bps: -1386.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 98 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 23:57 | BNB | Buy | 595.489→590.362 | -4.72 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:58 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13073→2.15046 | +4.18 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:45 | SUI | Buy | 0.703356→0.705044 | +0.72 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:09 | BTC | Buy | 63478.2→64187.8 | +5.14 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:03 | BTC | Buy | 64200.2→63812.8 | -3.47 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:00 | BTC | Buy | 64164.2→64106.8 | -0.88 | timeout |
| 06-21 10:39 | ETH | Buy | 1738.07→1732.93 | -1.93 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:38 | ETH | Buy | 1726.77→1736.43 | +2.33 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:12 | OP | Buy | 0.100775→0.102144 | +6.39 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:09 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78034→1.79535 | +3.75 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:35 | INJ | Buy | 5.05736→4.95808 | -10.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:33 | INJ | Buy | 5.08957→5.08183 | -1.25 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:05 | INJ | Buy | 5.05966→5.08133 | +1.67 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:53 | ATOM | Buy | 1.82196→1.78446 | -10.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:36 | APT | Buy | 0.656264→0.643717 | -10.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 11:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.741175→0.749083 | +4.85 | timeout |
| 06-18 10:15 | BTC | Buy | 63945.2→63960.8 | -0.35 | timeout |
| 06-18 04:43 | NEAR | Buy | 2.20915→2.16707 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 04:11 | LINK | Buy | 8.11283→7.95853 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:31 | OP | Buy | 0.107507→0.105451 | -10.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.176794→0.178265 | +3.71 | timeout |
| 06-16 11:33 | BTC | Buy | 65994.3→66395.7 | +2.57 | timeout |
| 06-16 03:44 | BTC | Buy | 66384.3→66090.7 | -2.65 | timeout |
| 06-16 03:44 | BNB | Buy | 619.625→614.176 | -4.82 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.166862→0.172127 | +15.31 | take_profit |
| 06-14 16:56 | ARB | Buy | 0.0832008→0.0818495 | -8.52 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:47 | XRP | Buy | 1.14549→1.13542 | -4.79 | timeout |
| 06-11 21:16 | BTC | Buy | 62735.1→63516.8 | +5.74 | timeout |
| 06-07 11:25 | BNB | Buy | 586.227→593.112 | +5.38 | timeout |
| 06-07 10:03 | APT | Buy | 0.672968→0.671932 | -1.21 | timeout |
| 06-07 03:47 | XRP | Buy | 1.08947→1.11762 | +12.48 | timeout |
| 06-06 16:42 | LTC | Buy | 42.2806→42.0695 | -2.95 | timeout |
| 06-06 12:31 | ATOM | Buy | 1.62→1.6153 | -1.83 | timeout |
| 06-06 06:33 | SUI | Buy | 0.684391→0.705993 | +15.34 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:22 | AVAX | Buy | 6.24936→6.44629 | +15.32 | take_profit |
| 06-06 02:55 | INJ | Buy | 5.1925→5.09048 | -10.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 14:06 | ARB | Buy | 0.0818305→0.0801898 | -10.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:55 | SOL | Buy | 66.0619→64.8198 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:52 | ETH | Buy | 1662.27→1631.12 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 19:55 | ETH | Buy | 1827.88→1793.72 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 11:24 | BTC | Buy | 67003.4→67317.6 | +1.86 | timeout |
| 06-03 11:17 | ETH | Buy | 1869.29→1886.21 | +4.05 | timeout |
| 06-03 07:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.209→1.24739 | +15.41 | take_profit |
| 06-03 05:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.2046→1.22709 | +8.90 | timeout |
| 06-03 03:49 | ETH | Buy | 1852.49→1817.81 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 03:44 | BTC | Buy | 66961.3→65715.8 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 03:35 | SOL | Buy | 74.8592→73.4522 | -9.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 02:45 | ATOM | Buy | 1.81145→1.84174 | +7.95 | timeout |
| 06-02 19:33 | SOL | Buy | 76.1744→74.7414 | -9.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:39 | INJ | Buy | 7.13878→6.99905 | -10.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.223246→0.218696 | -10.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:22 | APT | Buy | 0.904626→0.886934 | -10.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:03 | ARB | Buy | 0.0980745→0.0978755 | -1.41 | timeout |
| 06-01 02:55 | ATOM | Buy | 1.94191→1.96529 | +5.55 | timeout |
| 05-30 15:40 | ATOM | Buy | 2.03649→2.03901 | +0.17 | timeout |
| 05-29 12:06 | NEAR | Buy | 2.49058→2.44683 | -9.23 | stop_loss |
| 05-29 08:48 | ATOM | Buy | 2.05509→2.01911 | -9.15 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 23:29 | OP | Buy | 0.117641→0.11896 | +5.19 | timeout |
| 05-28 15:56 | BNB | Buy | 633.702→634.649 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 05-28 14:48 | ETH | Buy | 1989.8→1986.4 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 05-28 13:56 | APT | Buy | 0.937166→0.92119 | -8.97 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 12:06 | LINK | Buy | 8.83829→8.86482 | +1.12 | timeout |
| 05-28 11:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0975966→0.0980685 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 05-28 10:51 | APT | Buy | 0.910772→0.923731 | +6.76 | timeout |
| 05-28 09:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.28368→1.29292 | +3.16 | timeout |
| 05-28 07:08 | INJ | Buy | 5.37746→5.55339 | +15.98 | take_profit |
| 05-28 04:02 | BNB | Buy | 646.288→635.266 | -8.96 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | SOL | Buy | 82.3806→80.9526 | -9.11 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | ARB | Buy | 0.106533→0.104648 | -9.27 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | ETH | Buy | 2026.5→1991.39 | -9.10 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | SUI | Buy | 0.956411→0.940095 | -8.99 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 16:53 | AVAX | Buy | 9.14711→9.2147 | +3.21 | timeout |
| 05-27 13:35 | OP | Buy | 0.128548→0.126265 | -9.34 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 11:03 | LTC | Buy | 52.147→52.3501 | +1.48 | timeout |
| 05-27 10:44 | BTC | Buy | 75270.2→75864.8 | +3.54 | timeout |
| 05-27 08:33 | OP | Buy | 0.127008→0.128572 | +5.67 | timeout |
| 05-27 04:30 | APT | Buy | 0.975456→0.958318 | -9.22 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 00:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.100765→0.101615 | +3.79 | timeout |
| 05-26 23:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.23924→0.24001 | +1.22 | timeout |
| 05-26 23:01 | LTC | Buy | 52.123→52.02 | -1.40 | timeout |
| 05-26 22:49 | AVAX | Buy | 9.24379→9.13318 | -6.42 | timeout |
| 05-26 21:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.34296→1.33103 | -4.83 | timeout |
| 05-26 17:30 | SUI | Buy | 1.02454→1.00695 | -9.04 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 16:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.101625→0.101725 | +0.13 | timeout |
| 05-26 16:08 | BNB | Buy | 656.376→659.175 | +1.75 | timeout |
| 05-26 15:53 | ETH | Buy | 2119.39→2082.35 | -9.19 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 14:07 | BTC | Buy | 76665.2→77210.9 | +3.10 | timeout |
| 05-26 13:36 | XRP | Buy | 1.33887→1.34894 | +3.27 | timeout |
| 05-26 07:43 | SOL | Buy | 83.8604→84.2286 | +1.78 | timeout |
| 05-26 06:59 | ARB | Buy | 0.107543→0.109617 | +9.17 | timeout |
| 05-26 05:45 | APT | Buy | 0.965958→0.978645 | +6.16 | timeout |
| 05-26 05:05 | ETH | Buy | 2104.39→2092.31 | -3.30 | timeout |
| 05-26 03:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.35594→1.33467 | -8.29 | timeout |
| 05-26 01:41 | AVAX | Buy | 9.34724→9.16902 | -10.00 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 00:41 | OP | Buy | 0.130167→0.127906 | -9.15 | stop_loss |
| 05-25 23:15 | NEAR | Buy | 2.71318→2.7993 | +15.47 | take_profit |
| 05-25 22:37 | LTC | Buy | 52.9292→52.4939 | -4.54 | timeout |
| 05-25 21:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.102926→0.102334 | -3.36 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
98
closed
45%
win rate
-141.33
total pnl ($)
-29.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 11 | 55% | +8.9 | +4.85 |
| ETH | 10 | 20% | -95.7 | -47.86 |
| XRP | 8 | 62% | +63.0 | +25.31 |
| APT | 7 | 29% | -76.8 | -26.68 |
| ATOM | 7 | 57% | -12.7 | -4.32 |
| OP | 6 | 50% | -37.6 | -11.24 |
| BNB | 6 | 50% | -37.3 | -11.10 |
| INJ | 6 | 33% | -48.0 | -14.33 |
| ARB | 5 | 20% | -82.4 | -20.50 |
| SOL | 5 | 20% | -147.7 | -36.79 |
| SUI | 5 | 60% | +11.8 | +2.88 |
| DOGE | 4 | 75% | +12.3 | +2.55 |
| LTC | 4 | 25% | -37.2 | -7.41 |
| NEAR | 4 | 50% | +2.0 | +0.45 |
| AVAX | 4 | 50% | +10.7 | +2.10 |
| ADA | 4 | 75% | +47.8 | +9.61 |
| LINK | 2 | 50% | -89.1 | -8.84 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 22:53 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 22:51 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 01:22 | NEAR | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 00:30 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||