18
closed trades
61%
win rate
+41.63
total pnl ($)
1.250
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 06:16:55 (38.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
jm__restored_ebd51baa
n: 15
· wr: 60.0%
· total_bps: +392.5
· mean_bps: +26.16
· sharpe: +0.23
· max_dd_bps: -183.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 18 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 04:45 | ETH | Buy | 1692.07→1685.03 | -2.42 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:14 | ETH | Buy | 1629.96→1701.43 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-07 16:30 | ETH | Buy | 1585.96→1626.94 | +12.55 | timeout |
| 05-31 17:50 | ETH | Buy | 2029.8→2005.1 | -6.59 | timeout |
| 05-30 23:27 | ETH | Buy | 2015.7→2021.6 | +0.94 | timeout |
| 05-30 18:47 | ETH | Buy | 2017.1→2027.1 | +1.95 | timeout |
| 05-21 09:06 | ETH | Buy | 2136.11→2138.19 | +0.02 | timeout |
| 05-20 21:06 | ETH | Buy | 2128.51→2135.79 | +1.23 | timeout |
| 05-10 20:04 | ETH | Buy | 2326.13→2367.56 | +8.41 | timeout |
| 05-10 08:01 | ETH | Buy | 2331.63→2326.37 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 05-02 04:38 | ETH | Buy | 2300.13→2301.77 | -0.12 | timeout |
| 05-01 16:36 | ETH | Buy | 2279.53→2299.67 | +3.94 | timeout |
| 04-30 16:37 | ETH | Buy | 2239.2→2261.17 | +4.48 | timeout |
| 04-30 04:35 | ETH | Buy | 2267.5→2239.2 | -6.69 | timeout |
| 04-29 02:04 | ETH | Buy | 2272.2→2291 | +3.69 | timeout |
| 04-26 07:06 | ETH | Buy | 2309.7→2328.4 | +3.60 | timeout |
| 04-25 19:06 | ETH | Buy | 2313.6→2309.7 | -1.29 | timeout |
| 04-25 07:05 | ETH | Buy | 2320.4→2313.6 | -1.92 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
18
closed
61%
win rate
+41.63
total pnl ($)
+46.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 18 | 61% | +46.5 | +41.63 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:01 | ETH | Buy | -1.65 | The market was in a mild uptrend with ETH consolidating near $2296, showing low volatility and neutral funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, likely from a lack of directional movement or fill within the expected timeframe. |
| 05-02 04:38 | ETH | Buy | -0.12 | # Trade Analysis: bluechip_nft_floor_momentum_long Ethereum was consolidating with minimal directional conviction at close ($2302.64, -0.11% 1h, +1.06% 24h), while Bitcoin showed stronger relative momentum (+1.61% 24h), indicating a bifurcated market lacki… |
| 05-01 16:36 | ETH | Buy | +3.94 | The market was consolidating with slight weakness in the 1-hour timeframe (ETH down 0.53%) despite modest 24-hour gains of 1.81%, suggesting momentum had stalled after the initial retail risk-on pulse. The trade's thesis worked partially—the BAYC floor mome… |
| 04-30 04:35 | ETH | Buy | -6.69 | ETH declined 4.10% over 24 hours and 4.86% over 7 days into the close, with negative funding rates indicating short positioning domination and waning retail momentum despite the initial BAYC floor strength signal. The thesis failed because the 3.8% BAYC flo… |
| 04-26 07:06 | ETH | Buy | +3.60 | Ethereum was trading sideways with minimal momentum, up just 0.64% over 24 hours as the broader crypto market showed stagnation. The trade's thesis failed to materialize because the BAYC floor momentum signal that triggered the long entry (19.3% 24h gain wi… |
| 04-25 19:06 | ETH | Buy | -1.29 | Ethereum was essentially flat in the hour before close (-0.04% 1h) after declining 0.50% over 24 hours, while the broader market remained sideways with Bitcoin up 2.22% weekly but down slightly daily. The BAYC floor momentum signal (+14.2% in 24h) that just… |
| 04-25 07:05 | ETH | Buy | -1.92 | ETH was flat to slightly negative at close ($2,314.91), with Bitcoin also declining marginally and the 7-day trend showing -3.92% weakness despite the trade's 12-hour horizon. The BAYC floor momentum signal (9.15 ETH, +5.9% in 24h) failed to sustain upside … |