bitcoin_mempool_congestion_spike_short

60

closed trades

25%

win rate

-32.50

total pnl ($)

1.225

weight

7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-19 23:01:27 (38.6d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: akd

n: 550 · wr: 35.5% · total_bps: -4925.7 · mean_bps: -8.96 · sharpe: -0.20 · max_dd_bps: -4933.4

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-01 05:42	BTC	Sell	73442.3→73385.7	-0.06	timeout
06-01 03:19	BTC	Sell	73419.3→73895.7	-3.69	timeout
06-01 00:56	BTC	Sell	73657.3→73901.7	-2.11	timeout
05-31 21:20	BTC	Sell	73691.3→73655.7	-0.21	timeout
05-31 17:40	BTC	Sell	73478.3→73683.7	-1.84	timeout
05-31 14:39	BTC	Sell	73856.3→73649.7	+0.95	timeout
05-31 11:46	BTC	Sell	73774.3→73915.7	-1.40	timeout
05-31 08:55	BTC	Sell	73854.3→73890.7	-0.69	timeout
05-31 05:17	BTC	Sell	74076.3→74168.7	-1.07	timeout
05-31 01:14	BTC	Sell	73858.3→74108.7	-2.14	timeout
05-30 19:59	BTC	Sell	74010.3→73982.7	-0.26	timeout
05-30 16:05	BTC	Sell	73854.3→73865.7	-0.52	timeout
05-30 11:22	BTC	Sell	73597.3→73547.7	-0.11	timeout
05-30 05:47	BTC	Sell	73294.3→73591.7	-2.48	timeout
05-29 22:53	BTC	Sell	73414.3→73391.7	-0.29	timeout
05-29 18:52	BTC	Sell	73865.3→73237.3	+0.00	stop_loss
05-29 15:11	BTC	Sell	72606.4→73704.7	+0.00	take_profit
05-29 12:45	BTC	Sell	73478.3→73248.7	+1.11	timeout
05-29 09:57	BTC	Sell	73615.3→73699.7	-1.02	timeout
05-29 07:34	BTC	Sell	73678.3→73525.7	+0.59	timeout
05-29 01:10	BTC	Sell	73750.3→73835.7	-1.02	timeout
05-28 21:46	BTC	Sell	73620.3→73818.7	-1.79	timeout
05-28 20:21	BTC	Sell	73479.3→73578.7	-1.12	timeout
05-28 17:34	BTC	Sell	73209.3→73443.7	-2.04	timeout
05-28 15:12	BTC	Sell	72779.4→72914.6	-1.37	timeout
05-28 13:05	BTC	Sell	73445.3→73455.7	-0.52	timeout
05-28 10:42	BTC	Sell	73448.3→73477.7	-0.65	timeout
05-28 08:33	BTC	Sell	73291.3→73222.7	+0.02	timeout
05-28 06:27	BTC	Sell	72983.4→72887.6	+0.21	timeout
05-28 03:54	BTC	Sell	73842.3→73219.3	+0.00	stop_loss
05-28 02:19	BTC	Sell	74349.3→74272.7	+0.07	timeout
05-28 00:18	BTC	Sell	74507.3→74514.7	-0.50	timeout
05-27 21:44	BTC	Sell	75146.2→74510	+0.00	stop_loss
05-27 20:04	BTC	Sell	74995.3→75134.8	-1.38	timeout
05-27 17:56	BTC	Sell	75304.2→74671	+0.00	stop_loss
05-27 16:04	BTC	Sell	75082.2→75256.8	-1.61	timeout
05-27 13:38	BTC	Sell	75672.2→75035.2	+0.00	stop_loss
05-27 11:54	BTC	Sell	75889.2→75744.8	+0.50	timeout
05-27 09:53	BTC	Sell	75825.2→75852.8	-0.64	timeout
05-27 07:52	BTC	Sell	75850.2→75884.8	-0.68	timeout
05-27 05:51	BTC	Sell	75529.2→75628.8	-1.11	timeout
05-27 03:47	BTC	Sell	75723.2→75719.8	-0.43	timeout
05-27 01:47	BTC	Sell	75952.2→75863.8	+0.13	timeout
05-26 23:45	BTC	Sell	75708.2→75932.8	-1.93	timeout
05-26 21:45	BTC	Sell	76028.2→75961.8	-0.01	timeout
05-26 19:46	BTC	Sell	75873.2→76019.8	-1.41	timeout
05-26 17:33	BTC	Sell	76511.2→75854.7	+0.00	stop_loss
05-26 13:43	BTC	Sell	77034.1→76857.8	+0.70	timeout
05-26 11:42	BTC	Sell	77484.1→77201.9	+1.37	timeout
05-26 09:43	BTC	Sell	76781.2→76648.8	+0.41	timeout
05-26 07:38	BTC	Sell	76899.2→76592.8	+1.54	timeout
05-26 05:38	BTC	Sell	76731.2→76913.8	-1.64	timeout
05-26 03:38	BTC	Sell	76631.2→76639.8	-0.51	timeout
05-26 00:53	BTC	Sell	77238.1→76584.1	+0.00	stop_loss
05-25 23:03	BTC	Sell	77277.1→77143.9	+0.42	timeout
05-25 20:52	BTC	Sell	77420.1→77266.9	+0.54	timeout
05-25 18:40	BTC	Sell	77541.1→77589.9	-0.76	timeout
05-25 16:21	BTC	Sell	77584.1→77487.9	+0.18	timeout
05-25 14:20	BTC	Sell	77255.1→77523.9	-2.18	timeout
05-25 12:21	BTC	Sell	77390.1→77322.9	-0.01	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

60

closed

25%

win rate

-32.50

total pnl ($)

-12.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	60	25%	-12.5	-32.50

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 60 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)