211
closed trades
40%
win rate
-63.30
total pnl ($)
0.571
weight
7d window — n=43 wr=37% pnl=-109.84
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 20:04:37 (23.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
avz
n: 232
· wr: 36.6%
· total_bps: -975.3
· mean_bps: -4.20
· sharpe: -0.03
· max_dd_bps: -3164.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 04:04 | TRX | Buy | 0.322851→0.32039 | -4.26 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:13 | XLM | Buy | 0.179385→0.174869 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.1105→63.6807 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:40 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82196→1.77627 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:29 | SOL | Buy | 70.2305→68.4895 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63601→1.5944 | -13.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:07 | UNI | Sell | 2.85529→2.92799 | -13.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:02 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0731073→0.0711996 | -13.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.596549→0.581364 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:26 | SOL | Sell | 66.2511→67.9061 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.7576→63.3034 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:59 | KAS | Sell | 0.0277861→0.0265556 | +21.69 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | ICP | Sell | 2.23624→2.13873 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:58 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0752208→0.073292 | -13.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60284→61770 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:07 | SUI | Sell | 0.674431→0.691518 | -13.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:02 | SOL | Sell | 67.0079→68.6866 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1595.04→1634.48 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | INJ | Sell | 4.31832→4.13033 | +21.29 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:47 | BTC | Sell | 62800.9→60042 | +21.28 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:38 | BNB | Sell | 590.872→565.151 | +20.97 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:42 | AAVE | Buy | 76.213→74.2843 | -13.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:04 | ETH | Sell | 1658.93→1680.17 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:05 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0797651→0.0789247 | +4.73 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:04 | LINK | Sell | 7.63999→7.6099 | +1.41 | timeout |
| 06-23 10:59 | SUI | Sell | 0.685169→0.702477 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.87017→7.67124 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:17 | AAVE | Buy | 74.4836→72.6185 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | BTC | Buy | 64700.2→63083.3 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:04 | OP | Buy | 0.100365→0.101135 | +3.24 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:31 | XMR | Sell | 318.1→326.074 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:06 | UNI | Buy | 3.00775→3.02594 | +2.57 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.709397→0.740475 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-22 04:05 | LINK | Sell | 7.96151→7.86867 | +5.46 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1712.03→1754.35 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 00:09 | HBAR | Sell | 0.0804829→0.0781795 | +13.86 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:50 | NEAR | Sell | 2.23414→2.13503 | +21.73 | take_profit |
| 06-21 20:04 | INJ | Buy | 4.99355→4.94666 | -5.09 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:03 | ADA | Sell | 0.162249→0.16146 | +1.60 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:06 | RENDER | Sell | 1.74876→1.70403 | +12.34 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:05 | ETC | Sell | 7.63359→7.44486 | +11.91 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:01 | HBAR | Sell | 0.0802049→0.080162 | -0.18 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:05 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0132467→0.0135902 | -13.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 04:26 | SOL | Sell | 68.6927→70.3977 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 20:06 | BNB | Sell | 579.415→579.675 | -0.89 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:04 | LTC | Sell | 44.4359→43.973 | +4.68 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:07 | ETH | Sell | 1685.83→1707.17 | -6.68 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:06 | BTC | Sell | 62627.9→63162.2 | -4.72 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:53 | SOL | Sell | 71.7862→68.6453 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1773.32→1695.57 | +21.14 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:25 | ADA | Buy | 0.166232→0.162068 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.72562→6.43281 | +21.25 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:11 | BNB | Buy | 605.541→590.357 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 03:57 | DOT | Sell | 1.02654→0.981345 | +21.56 | take_profit |
| 06-17 19:38 | SUI | Buy | 0.794499→0.774529 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64843.8→66443.5 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 12:43 | UNI | Sell | 3.26418→3.34831 | -13.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 10:03 | XMR | Buy | 351.778→342.883 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:06 | LINK | Sell | 8.28513→8.27907 | +0.07 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:09 | DOT | Sell | 0.99883→1.02467 | -13.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 218.245→223.718 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 17:49 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0129932→0.0135666 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-16 14:33 | HYPE | Buy | 75.1648→73.2151 | -13.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:31 | OP | Buy | 0.108497→0.105761 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 09:27 | NEAR | Sell | 2.45519→2.51779 | -13.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82129→6.99204 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:27 | INJ | Sell | 5.79805→5.94476 | -13.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | SOL | Buy | 75.0373→73.1754 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:54 | XRP | Buy | 1.26011→1.22848 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 00:35 | XLM | Sell | 0.214316→0.219755 | -13.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 00:09 | LTC | Sell | 45.3607→45.8014 | -5.19 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1841.48→1795.12 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 21:31 | LINK | Buy | 8.54874→8.33505 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 13:18 | UNI | Buy | 2.59825→2.71242 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1726.57→1803.52 | +21.80 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:08 | ETC | Buy | 7.28342→7.605 | +21.63 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1843→1.23579 | +21.27 | take_profit |
| 06-15 00:06 | AAVE | Sell | 66.7793→68.3131 | -11.93 | timeout |
| 06-14 23:26 | SUI | Buy | 0.75958→0.792652 | +21.25 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:36 | ONDO | Buy | 0.345826→0.36087 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-14 20:10 | DOT | Sell | 0.978425→0.950838 | +13.65 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:08 | SOL | Buy | 68.2552→67.4819 | -5.99 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:08 | LTC | Buy | 43.2788→44.073 | +8.79 | timeout |
| 06-14 08:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.173443→0.171087 | -6.97 | timeout |
| 06-13 18:12 | XLM | Buy | 0.190458→0.185631 | -13.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 14:15 | XRP | Sell | 1.12862→1.15687 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 06:10 | OP | Sell | 0.100275→0.102977 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 04:09 | AVAX | Sell | 6.64394→6.57404 | +4.74 | timeout |
| 06-13 04:08 | LINK | Sell | 7.88653→7.87197 | +0.52 | timeout |
| 06-13 00:12 | ATOM | Sell | 2.0101→1.97229 | +8.71 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:20 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0864534→0.0886244 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 09:21 | OP | Buy | 0.0943936→0.0987353 | +22.52 | take_profit |
| 06-12 04:09 | BTC | Buy | 62583.1→63465.8 | +6.52 | timeout |
| 06-12 04:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0848222→0.0864144 | +8.79 | timeout |
| 06-12 04:08 | LTC | Sell | 42.6793→42.6096 | +0.33 | timeout |
| 06-12 00:06 | LTC | Buy | 42.1115→42.4344 | +3.41 | timeout |
| 06-11 11:30 | ETH | Sell | 1626.44→1666.7 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | SUI | Sell | 0.731717→0.750202 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:41 | SOL | Sell | 63.3125→64.8872 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:16 | XMR | Buy | 326.252→340.455 | +21.32 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
211
closed
40%
win rate
-63.30
total pnl ($)
-6.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 13 | 31% | -103.0 | -66.17 |
| ETH | 13 | 46% | +74.1 | +47.99 |
| SUI | 13 | 46% | +36.1 | +23.54 |
| LINK | 11 | 55% | -27.9 | -15.04 |
| BTC | 10 | 30% | -63.7 | -31.98 |
| XRP | 9 | 33% | -27.6 | -11.69 |
| LTC | 7 | 57% | -40.0 | -13.84 |
| UNI | 7 | 43% | -10.5 | -3.69 |
| INJ | 6 | 17% | -123.8 | -37.41 |
| BNB | 6 | 33% | +5.8 | +1.38 |
| ADA | 6 | 33% | -43.6 | -13.14 |
| HYPE | 6 | 17% | -146.4 | -43.91 |
| DOT | 6 | 33% | -17.9 | -5.36 |
| NEAR | 5 | 60% | +153.2 | +38.25 |
| ONDO | 5 | 80% | +290.1 | +72.51 |
| APT | 5 | 20% | -71.5 | -17.66 |
| HBAR | 5 | 20% | -112.5 | -28.12 |
| ARB | 5 | 40% | +39.8 | +10.23 |
| OP | 5 | 60% | +81.2 | +20.03 |
| ETC | 5 | 60% | +104.4 | +26.09 |
| KAS | 5 | 60% | +159.5 | +39.88 |
| AAVE | 5 | 0% | -256.7 | -64.17 |
| ICP | 4 | 25% | -92.0 | -18.40 |
| TRX | 4 | 25% | -66.0 | -13.19 |
| BCH | 4 | 50% | +84.0 | +16.80 |
| ATOM | 4 | 50% | +16.3 | +3.05 |
| RENDER | 4 | 50% | +37.4 | +7.49 |
| SAGA | 4 | 50% | +82.9 | +16.57 |
| DOGE | 4 | 75% | +111.9 | +22.17 |
| XMR | 4 | 50% | +83.4 | +16.67 |
| AVAX | 4 | 50% | +0.6 | -0.03 |
| XLM | 4 | 0% | -263.5 | -52.71 |
| BLUR | 3 | 100% | +231.0 | +34.65 |
| ACE | 3 | 33% | -45.8 | -6.88 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| FIL | 1 | 0% | -260.1 | -13.01 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||