binance_top_trader_extreme_consensus_contrarian

56

closed trades

30%

win rate

-9.14

total pnl ($)

1.218

weight

7d window — n=14 wr=29% pnl=-1.45 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 15:34:46 (40.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: afv

n: 53 · wr: 41.5% · total_bps: -175.4 · mean_bps: -3.31 · sharpe: -0.09 · max_dd_bps: -400.0

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 21:34	BTC	Buy	59839→59880	-0.02	timeout
06-26 17:31	BTC	Buy	60475→60177	-0.47	timeout
06-26 09:40	BTC	Buy	60253→60023	-0.38	timeout
06-25 17:35	BTC	Sell	59476→59525	-0.14	timeout
06-24 20:06	BTC	Sell	60157→60765.4	-0.88	stop_loss
06-24 17:21	BTC	Sell	60277→59373	+1.13	take_profit
06-23 13:35	BTC	Sell	62446.9→62229.1	+0.21	timeout
06-23 09:35	BTC	Sell	62784.9→62444.1	+0.36	timeout
06-23 01:38	BTC	Sell	63944.8→63990.2	-0.13	timeout
06-22 17:37	BTC	Buy	64698.2→64435.8	-0.40	timeout
06-22 13:42	BTC	Buy	64727.2→65225.7	+0.54	timeout
06-22 09:38	BTC	Buy	64146.2→64058.8	-0.18	timeout
06-22 01:18	BTC	Sell	63480.8→64124.3	-0.88	stop_loss
06-21 17:40	BTC	Buy	64155.2→64038.8	-0.22	timeout
06-20 17:39	BTC	Buy	64019.2→63817.8	-0.32	timeout
06-18 21:35	BTC	Sell	63142.8→62959.1	+0.16	timeout
06-18 17:35	BTC	Sell	62584.9→62619.1	-0.12	timeout
06-18 01:37	BTC	Sell	64579.8→64590.2	-0.08	timeout
06-17 21:34	BTC	Sell	64383.8→64304.2	+0.03	timeout
06-17 17:34	BTC	Sell	65815.7→65926.3	-0.21	timeout
06-17 13:41	BTC	Sell	64819.8→65315.3	-0.68	timeout
06-15 21:35	BTC	Buy	66538.3→66415.7	-0.22	timeout
06-15 17:39	BTC	Buy	67090.4→66827.7	-0.39	timeout
06-15 01:37	BTC	Buy	65688.3→65503.7	-0.30	timeout
06-13 17:39	BTC	Buy	64074.2→64064.8	-0.08	timeout
06-11 09:37	BTC	Buy	62759.1→62898.9	+0.10	timeout
06-11 05:38	BTC	Buy	62598.1→62634.9	-0.03	timeout
06-11 03:15	BTC	Sell	62227.9→62049.1	+0.16	timeout
06-11 01:37	BTC	Sell	61644.9→62083.1	-0.64	timeout
06-10 21:35	BTC	Sell	61799.9→61669.1	+0.10	timeout
06-09 18:58	BTC	Sell	61747.9→61772.1	-0.10	timeout
06-09 17:03	BTC	Sell	61001.9→61619.9	-0.88	stop_loss
06-08 20:52	BTC	Buy	63512.2→63370.8	-0.25	timeout
06-08 17:40	BTC	Buy	63789.2→63366.8	-0.60	timeout
06-06 09:33	BTC	Buy	60883→61230.9	+0.38	timeout
06-05 14:04	BTC	Buy	61122.1→60502.7	-0.88	stop_loss
06-05 12:35	BTC	Buy	62300.1→61670.1	-0.88	stop_loss
06-04 09:24	BTC	Buy	63604.2→62961.4	-0.88	stop_loss
06-03 01:36	BTC	Sell	66697.7→66730.3	-0.11	timeout
06-02 16:18	BTC	Sell	67406.6→68090.4	-0.88	stop_loss
05-31 21:40	BTC	Sell	73661.3→73665.7	-0.08	timeout
05-31 17:41	BTC	Sell	73668.3→73680.7	-0.08	timeout
05-30 21:41	BTC	Buy	73934.7→73957.3	-0.05	timeout
05-30 05:37	BTC	Buy	73410.7→73531.3	+0.06	timeout
05-28 05:33	BTC	Sell	72919.4→72996.6	-0.16	timeout
05-28 03:03	BTC	Sell	74351.3→74279.7	+0.01	timeout
05-28 01:33	BTC	Sell	74526.3→74358.7	+0.11	timeout
05-26 23:03	BTC	Sell	76004.2→75822.8	+0.12	timeout
05-26 21:33	BTC	Sell	76013.2→76012.8	-0.07	timeout
05-26 09:30	BTC	Sell	76666.2→76713.8	-0.12	timeout
05-23 09:30	BTC	Sell	74603.3→74645.7	-0.12	timeout
05-23 01:34	BTC	Sell	75540.2→75431.8	+0.04	timeout
05-22 23:04	BTC	Sell	76002.2→75775.8	+0.17	timeout
05-22 21:34	BTC	Sell	75881.2→76044.8	-0.24	timeout
05-22 19:04	BTC	Sell	76915.2→76387.8	+0.48	timeout
05-22 17:34	BTC	Sell	76861.2→76922.8	-0.13	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

56

closed

30%

win rate

-9.14

total pnl ($)

-20.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	56	30%	-20.4	-9.14

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 56 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)