249
closed trades
41%
win rate
-204.03
total pnl ($)
0.728
weight
7d window — n=52 wr=37% pnl=-83.44
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 20:05:27 (23.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
axg
n: 279
· wr: 43.7%
· total_bps: +959.5
· mean_bps: +3.44
· sharpe: +0.02
· max_dd_bps: -3096.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 08:05 | BLUR | Sell | 0.0147763→0.0145326 | +7.80 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:05 | DOT | Buy | 0.859175→0.852957 | -4.07 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:05 | LINK | Buy | 7.36214→7.37006 | +0.15 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:13 | XLM | Buy | 0.179385→0.174869 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.1785→63.7398 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | BNB | Buy | 568.222→553.764 | -13.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82025→1.77307 | -13.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:48 | SOL | Buy | 70.3776→68.6244 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:40 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63761→1.5967 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 04:04 | UNI | Sell | 2.85229→2.86482 | -2.65 | timeout |
| 06-26 04:03 | TRX | Buy | 0.322901→0.32149 | -2.64 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:02 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0731073→0.0711996 | -13.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | INJ | Buy | 4.30988→4.20165 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.2971→67.9962 | -13.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:59 | KAS | Sell | 0.0277851→0.0265566 | +21.66 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:51 | ICP | Sell | 2.22954→2.13203 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-25 12:02 | APT | Buy | 0.630758→0.621944 | -7.48 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:02 | SOL | Sell | 67.0089→68.6736 | -12.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:56 | ETH | Sell | 1593.24→1632.68 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:03 | BTC | Sell | 60269→60857 | -5.33 | timeout |
| 06-24 22:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.673931→0.690858 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | INJ | Sell | 4.30862→4.12103 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | BCH | Sell | 193.792→185.176 | +21.78 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:47 | AAVE | Buy | 75.6389→73.7367 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:07 | BLUR | Sell | 0.0153172→0.0154359 | -4.32 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:35 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0145864→0.0139435 | +21.59 | take_profit |
| 06-24 00:06 | SOL | Sell | 69.1606→69.6524 | -4.16 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:04 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0797471→0.0786507 | +6.28 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:04 | LINK | Sell | 7.64409→7.5898 | +2.99 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:04 | BTC | Sell | 62800.9→62469.1 | +2.20 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:06 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0828903→0.079885 | +17.68 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:21 | ETC | Buy | 7.15989→6.97297 | -13.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:06 | BTC | Buy | 64684.2→64038.8 | -5.44 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:06 | BNB | Buy | 594.859→591.122 | -3.52 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:54 | XMR | Sell | 320.13→328.216 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | ETH | Buy | 1763.88→1720.27 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:04 | LINK | Buy | 7.87017→7.96081 | +5.27 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:14 | AAVE | Buy | 74.3696→76.6318 | +14.76 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:09 | FIL | Sell | 0.79992→0.807412 | -5.13 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:09 | BCH | Sell | 198.47→199.16 | -2.19 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1711.03→1753.55 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 00:06 | APT | Sell | 0.651837→0.652363 | -0.78 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:48 | NEAR | Sell | 2.23474→2.13723 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-21 20:06 | HYPE | Sell | 68.2539→68.7912 | -4.39 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:06 | UNI | Buy | 3.00775→3.04834 | +6.30 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:08 | INJ | Buy | 4.99605→5.01645 | +1.66 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:10 | SOL | Buy | 71.7228→73.491 | +11.84 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:10 | BTC | Buy | 64003.2→64375.8 | +2.47 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:09 | SUI | Sell | 0.709173→0.710748 | -1.49 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:04 | RENDER | Sell | 1.74476→1.73833 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:15 | ACE | Buy | 0.0852213→0.0829378 | -13.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 12:05 | ETC | Sell | 7.6174→7.66412 | -3.52 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:06 | HBAR | Sell | 0.0802309→0.080169 | -0.06 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:06 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0132167→0.0130833 | +4.60 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.13578→1.13542 | -0.62 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:05 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0132867→0.0132733 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:45 | OP | Buy | 0.100875→0.105294 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-19 08:06 | DOT | Buy | 0.968512→0.954711 | -7.57 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:06 | BNB | Sell | 579.365→574.063 | +4.15 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:19 | ACE | Buy | 0.0783196→0.0762428 | -13.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.30278→6.14429 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 20:07 | LTC | Sell | 44.4569→43.6399 | +8.79 | timeout |
| 06-18 18:49 | XMR | Buy | 331.143→322.818 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:46 | LINK | Buy | 8.0198→7.81673 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Buy | 6.61105→6.44516 | -12.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 08:09 | SOL | Sell | 71.8072→71.8528 | -0.82 | timeout |
| 06-18 08:08 | AVAX | Sell | 6.74201→6.67447 | +4.52 | timeout |
| 06-18 04:05 | ETH | Sell | 1776.02→1739.17 | +9.92 | timeout |
| 06-18 00:09 | BNB | Buy | 605.811→601.879 | -3.72 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64842.8→66439.5 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:26 | DOT | Sell | 1.02654→1.03446 | -4.31 | timeout |
| 06-17 12:09 | UNI | Sell | 3.2069→3.28776 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:57 | XMR | Buy | 352.268→343.342 | -13.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:09 | SUI | Buy | 0.793848→0.79855 | +2.44 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:09 | DOT | Sell | 0.99883→1.02467 | -13.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 218.075→223.578 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 20:05 | LINK | Sell | 8.28613→8.25256 | +1.57 | timeout |
| 06-16 16:06 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0129932→0.0132167 | +8.15 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:31 | OP | Buy | 0.108227→0.105511 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82129→6.99204 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:25 | XLM | Sell | 0.214546→0.219925 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | SOL | Buy | 75.0423→73.1754 | -12.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.25951→1.22798 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1841.38→1795.92 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:22 | LINK | Buy | 8.53863→8.32495 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 12:09 | ETH | Buy | 1728.17→1761.92 | +9.28 | timeout |
| 06-15 12:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.183→1.22649 | +17.91 | timeout |
| 06-15 12:02 | UNI | Buy | 2.59085→2.68203 | +17.15 | timeout |
| 06-15 12:01 | LTC | Sell | 45.3727→45.7894 | -5.05 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:39 | ONDO | Buy | 0.345986→0.36111 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-14 16:09 | APT | Sell | 0.665834→0.651363 | +10.22 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:09 | AVAX | Sell | 6.70382→6.52093 | +13.05 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:02 | NEAR | Sell | 2.13687→2.07332 | +14.49 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:01 | LTC | Sell | 44.4179→44.028 | +3.88 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:09 | AAVE | Sell | 66.7803→67.0938 | -2.80 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:03 | ACE | Buy | 0.0855214→0.0849788 | -3.62 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:07 | XLM | Buy | 0.190007→0.186243 | -10.36 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.173113→0.171847 | -3.98 | timeout |
| 06-13 08:11 | FIL | Buy | 0.749117→0.776956 | +18.13 | timeout |
| 06-13 07:20 | RENDER | Sell | 1.66818→1.71018 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
249
closed
41%
win rate
-204.03
total pnl ($)
-16.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 14 | 29% | -115.2 | -81.03 |
| SUI | 12 | 50% | -0.4 | -0.05 |
| XRP | 11 | 18% | -56.8 | -31.28 |
| ETH | 11 | 45% | -9.7 | -5.35 |
| LINK | 11 | 55% | -47.8 | -26.42 |
| APT | 9 | 33% | -74.0 | -33.66 |
| UNI | 9 | 33% | -18.1 | -8.15 |
| ACE | 9 | 44% | -23.0 | -10.37 |
| BTC | 9 | 33% | -82.2 | -37.07 |
| INJ | 8 | 75% | +175.3 | +70.09 |
| BNB | 8 | 50% | -9.8 | -3.88 |
| LTC | 8 | 50% | +12.5 | +5.17 |
| NEAR | 7 | 71% | +238.1 | +83.34 |
| RENDER | 7 | 43% | -1.8 | -0.63 |
| BCH | 7 | 29% | -60.0 | -20.98 |
| TRX | 7 | 43% | -71.2 | -24.94 |
| FIL | 6 | 33% | -44.1 | -13.24 |
| SAGA | 6 | 83% | +141.2 | +42.35 |
| DOGE | 6 | 50% | +66.8 | +19.93 |
| AAVE | 6 | 33% | -45.3 | -13.58 |
| AVAX | 6 | 33% | -114.3 | -34.38 |
| ICP | 5 | 40% | +12.1 | +3.04 |
| ETC | 5 | 60% | -27.3 | -6.82 |
| XMR | 5 | 20% | -92.6 | -23.16 |
| BLUR | 5 | 60% | +67.2 | +16.79 |
| HYPE | 5 | 20% | -67.0 | -16.75 |
| ADA | 5 | 40% | +14.3 | +3.49 |
| ARB | 5 | 60% | +68.5 | +17.03 |
| OP | 5 | 20% | -130.2 | -32.63 |
| DOT | 5 | 0% | -169.1 | -42.27 |
| XLM | 5 | 0% | -251.1 | -62.78 |
| ONDO | 4 | 75% | +257.1 | +51.41 |
| ATOM | 4 | 50% | +33.3 | +6.63 |
| HBAR | 4 | 25% | -123.6 | -24.71 |
| KAS | 4 | 75% | +175.1 | +35.03 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 12:10 | RENDER | Sell | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 12:10 | RENDER | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||