9
closed trades
33%
win rate
-26.56
total pnl ($)
1.251
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 05:49:28 (40.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xw
n: 46
· wr: 32.6%
· total_bps: -2499.1
· mean_bps: -54.33
· sharpe: -0.36
· max_dd_bps: -3208.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 9 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 01:35 | ETH | Buy | 1758.78→1758.82 | -0.48 | timeout |
| 06-17 13:33 | ETH | Buy | 1782.88→1758.92 | -7.17 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:28 | ETH | Buy | 1802.28→1785.22 | -5.24 | timeout |
| 06-16 13:19 | ETH | Buy | 1791.68→1808.52 | +4.20 | timeout |
| 05-09 01:22 | ETH | Buy | 2278.53→2309.07 | +6.21 | timeout |
| 05-08 13:21 | ETH | Buy | 2284.73→2278.07 | -1.89 | timeout |
| 05-08 01:22 | ETH | Buy | 2327.23→2283.87 | -9.79 | timeout |
| 05-07 13:20 | ETH | Buy | 2323.33→2326.77 | +0.27 | timeout |
| 05-07 00:47 | ETH | Buy | 2388.84→2330.1 | -12.68 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
9
closed
33%
win rate
-26.56
total pnl ($)
-58.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 9 | 33% | -58.7 | -26.56 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 01:22 | ETH | Buy | +6.21 | ETH traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight intraday uptick but remaining weak on longer timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the market lacked directional con… |
| 05-08 13:21 | ETH | Buy | -1.89 | The market was in a mild downtrend with ETH losing 1.51% over 24 hours and 2.86% over the week, while funding remained slightly positive. The thesis failed because the trade did not reach its target or stop within the allotted time, resulting in a small los… |
| 05-08 01:22 | ETH | Buy | -9.79 | The market was in a neutral range with low funding and moderate open interest, offering no clear directional catalyst. The thesis failed because the trade timed out without reaching a target or stop, as the lack of volatility prevented any profitable exit. |
| 05-07 13:20 | ETH | Buy | +0.27 | The market was in a mild downtrend with ETH declining across all timeframes alongside BTC. The trade closed on timeout with a small profit, as the thesis likely relied on a short-term mean reversion that did not trigger an exit signal before expiration. |
| 05-07 00:47 | ETH | Buy | -12.68 | The market was in a short-term uptrend on the hourly chart but remained in a broader weekly downtrend with negative 24-hour and 7-day performance. The thesis failed because the stop-loss was triggered as the broader bearish momentum outweighed the minor hou… |