b35829_btc_dominance_zscore_fade_short

50

closed trades

54%

win rate

+249.92

total pnl ($)

1.715

weight

7d window — n=11 wr=64% pnl=+71.42 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 20:32:10 (24.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x2189877_35829

n: 656 · wr: 38.9% · total_bps: -6055.8 · mean_bps: -9.23 · sharpe: -0.05 · max_dd_bps: -11941.5

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 15:11	BTC	Sell	59406→60868.5	-12.77	stop_loss
06-25 13:53	BTC	Sell	61673.9→58964.9	+21.49	take_profit
06-24 20:49	BTC	Sell	59561→61032.6	-12.83	stop_loss
06-24 16:51	BTC	Sell	62522.9→59768	+21.37	take_profit
06-24 16:47	BTC	Sell	62724.9→59970	+21.43	take_profit
06-24 14:20	BTC	Sell	63657.8→60862	+21.47	take_profit
06-24 01:19	BTC	Sell	64071.8→62768.1	+9.80	timeout
06-23 13:20	BTC	Sell	64136.8→62100.1	+15.19	timeout
06-23 00:59	BTC	Sell	64264.8→64121.2	+0.64	timeout
06-22 12:39	BTC	Sell	63551.8→65116.8	-12.46	stop_loss
06-22 00:51	BTC	Sell	63510.8→63703.2	-1.90	timeout
06-21 01:06	BTC	Sell	63047.8→64275.2	-10.09	timeout
06-20 13:16	BTC	Sell	64374.8→63580.2	+5.81	timeout
06-20 01:02	BTC	Sell	64552.8→63483.2	+7.79	timeout
06-19 12:44	BTC	Sell	64899.8→62503.1	+17.84	timeout
06-18 15:37	BTC	Sell	65776.7→62888.1	+20.90	take_profit
06-18 04:11	BTC	Sell	66745.7→63781.2	+21.79	take_profit
06-17 22:19	BTC	Sell	66329.7→64123.2	+16.15	timeout
06-15 16:10	BTC	Sell	65693.7→67311	-12.76	stop_loss
06-15 13:16	BTC	Sell	65178.7→66783.7	-12.78	stop_loss
06-15 11:18	BTC	Sell	64515.8→66122.3	-12.89	stop_loss
06-15 03:50	BTC	Sell	64408.8→65997.3	-12.74	stop_loss
06-14 21:40	BTC	Sell	63730.8→65305.9	-12.75	stop_loss
06-14 08:27	BTC	Sell	63465.8→64452.2	-8.18	timeout
06-13 20:47	BTC	Sell	63256.8→64229.2	-8.10	timeout
06-13 08:34	BTC	Sell	62922.9→63786.2	-7.12	timeout
06-11 17:32	BTC	Sell	61767.9→63297.8	-12.76	stop_loss
06-11 10:55	BTC	Sell	61652.9→63184.7	-12.71	stop_loss
06-11 09:11	BTC	Sell	62743.9→62831.1	-0.91	timeout
06-10 09:06	BTC	Sell	63260.8→61166.1	+15.86	timeout
06-09 16:09	BTC	Sell	63711.8→60911	+21.63	take_profit
06-09 09:07	BTC	Sell	62855.9→62761.1	+0.32	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61748.9→63269.8	-12.77	stop_loss
06-07 20:54	BTC	Sell	61504.9→61867.1	-3.45	timeout
06-07 08:48	BTC	Sell	61399.9→62911.6	-12.79	stop_loss
06-07 05:18	BTC	Sell	60671→62167.2	-12.79	stop_loss
06-05 18:44	BTC	Sell	62426.9→59686	+21.53	take_profit
06-05 15:38	BTC	Sell	63019.8→60244	+21.52	take_profit
06-05 13:57	BTC	Sell	63646.8→60851	+21.52	take_profit
06-04 01:51	BTC	Sell	65168.7→62305.1	+21.52	take_profit
06-04 00:29	BTC	Sell	66238.7→63330.2	+21.48	take_profit
06-03 23:51	BTC	Sell	67097.6→64151.2	+21.51	take_profit
06-02 19:32	BTC	Sell	69990.5→66698.3	+23.07	take_profit
06-02 14:23	BTC	Sell	71055.4→67935.4	+21.54	take_profit
06-02 06:47	BTC	Sell	73204.3→69988.5	+21.67	take_profit
06-02 02:01	BTC	Sell	73829.3→70587.5	+21.73	take_profit
06-01 23:49	BTC	Sell	73811.3→71573.6	+15.01	timeout
05-31 14:50	BTC	Sell	72715.4→73639.7	-6.78	timeout
05-31 02:38	BTC	Sell	73434.3→73908.7	-3.55	timeout
05-30 13:40	BTC	Sell	72875.4→73672.7	-5.79	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

50

closed

54%

win rate

+249.92

total pnl ($)

+99.7 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	50	54%	+99.7	+249.92

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 50 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)