22
closed trades
36%
win rate
-12.85
total pnl ($)
1.230
weight
7d window — n=2 wr=0% pnl=-1.61
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 04:13:55 (34.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
qh
n: 168
· wr: 42.3%
· total_bps: -1881.3
· mean_bps: -11.20
· sharpe: -0.17
· max_dd_bps: -1989.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 22 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 03:03 | SOL | Buy | 71.8448→71.7332 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 06-18 02:35 | SOL | Buy | 72.4319→72.4761 | -0.17 | timeout |
| 06-14 02:34 | SOL | Buy | 68.6713→68.9677 | +2.07 | timeout |
| 06-13 02:31 | SOL | Buy | 67.0111→67.1049 | +0.31 | timeout |
| 06-09 02:38 | ETH | Buy | 1658.47→1654.73 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 06-08 03:54 | ETH | Buy | 1683.37→1678.43 | -2.28 | timeout |
| 06-08 01:15 | SOL | Buy | 66.365→65.7033 | -6.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 01:08 | SOL | Buy | 62.1283→63.0445 | +8.31 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:08 | ETH | Buy | 1561.16→1545.97 | -6.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 01:19 | SOL | Buy | 64.7297→64.0903 | -6.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 04:39 | ETH | Buy | 1725.07→1731.03 | +1.54 | timeout |
| 06-05 02:21 | SOL | Buy | 68.3613→67.69 | -6.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 03:04 | SOL | Buy | 69.5884→70.6214 | +8.37 | take_profit |
| 06-03 05:04 | SOL | Buy | 73.369→74.4508 | +8.31 | take_profit |
| 06-01 09:38 | SOL | Buy | 80.7521→81.0518 | +1.68 | timeout |
| 05-28 05:29 | ETH | Buy | 1981→1974.7 | -2.43 | timeout |
| 05-27 04:03 | SOL | Buy | 83.6785→83.5275 | -1.61 | timeout |
| 05-26 03:01 | SOL | Buy | 84.2536→83.8674 | -3.27 | timeout |
| 05-25 02:29 | SOL | Buy | 85.4498→85.0572 | -3.27 | timeout |
| 05-23 06:15 | SOL | Buy | 84.3727→84.3713 | -0.54 | timeout |
| 05-02 02:31 | BTC | Buy | 78274.9→78214.1 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 05-01 02:31 | BTC | Buy | 76437.8→76531.2 | +0.21 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
22
closed
36%
win rate
-12.85
total pnl ($)
-9.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 15 | 40% | -0.9 | -0.65 |
| ETH | 5 | 20% | -38.3 | -11.41 |
| BTC | 2 | 50% | -6.8 | -0.79 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 01:48 | SOL | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-02 02:31 | BTC | Buy | -1.00 | # Post-Trade Analysis Bitcoin was consolidating gains in a risk-on environment (+2.22% on the day), with funding rates having already normalized sharply from -1.176 bps at entry to -0.008% by close—indicating the mean-reversion thesis had already played ou… |
| 05-01 02:31 | BTC | Buy | +0.21 | # Trade Analysis: asia_open_funding_rate_normalization BTC drifted sideways in the 90-minute Asia open window, gaining only +0.01% hourly while the broader 24h trend flipped to +1.30%, signaling the risk-off regime had already begun reversing into modest b… |