148
closed trades
41%
win rate
-180.25
total pnl ($)
0.973
weight
7d window — n=28 wr=36% pnl=-42.89
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 02:57:40 (24.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
eg
n: 64
· wr: 40.6%
· total_bps: -2054.4
· mean_bps: -32.10
· sharpe: -0.29
· max_dd_bps: -2128.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 23:07 | ETH | Buy | 1592.36→1579.64 | -4.43 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:26 | ETH | Buy | 1586.66→1580.44 | -2.41 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:51 | ETH | Buy | 1581.76→1584.04 | +0.28 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:47 | ETH | Buy | 1572.86→1583.24 | +2.88 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:41 | ETH | Buy | 1574.96→1572.64 | -1.19 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:53 | ETH | Buy | 1538.35→1572.54 | +10.63 | timeout |
| 06-26 12:34 | ETH | Buy | 1557.96→1555.24 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1566.56→1534.08 | -10.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:56 | ETH | Buy | 1569.76→1564.34 | -2.16 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:42 | ETH | Buy | 1633.76→1599.94 | -10.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:12 | ETH | Buy | 1652.57→1637.94 | -4.85 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:45 | ETH | Buy | 1619.26→1654.03 | +10.26 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:16 | ETH | Buy | 1570.06→1622.64 | +16.28 | timeout |
| 06-24 16:48 | ETH | Buy | 1642.46→1608.43 | -10.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:42 | ETH | Buy | 1670.97→1649.34 | -6.93 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:01 | ETH | Buy | 1668.97→1673.53 | +0.91 | timeout |
| 06-24 00:36 | ETH | Buy | 1653.77→1669.13 | +4.20 | timeout |
| 06-23 17:53 | ETH | Buy | 1658.57→1657.23 | -0.85 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:17 | ETH | Buy | 1694.47→1659.4 | -10.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | ETH | Buy | 1728.97→1693.18 | -10.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 00:14 | ETH | Buy | 1745.17→1724.53 | -6.38 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:50 | ETH | Buy | 1764.78→1737.33 | -8.23 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:19 | ETH | Buy | 1745.37→1763.32 | +4.66 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:15 | ETH | Buy | 1725.67→1743.63 | +4.71 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:42 | ETH | Buy | 1733.07→1726.33 | -2.42 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:39 | ETH | Buy | 1718.87→1733.93 | +3.93 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:44 | ETH | Buy | 1737.27→1720.03 | -5.41 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:30 | ETH | Buy | 1736.77→1734.23 | -1.16 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:50 | ETH | Buy | 1725.77→1740.53 | +3.81 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:37 | ETH | Buy | 1726.67→1723.53 | -1.37 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:27 | ETH | Buy | 1724.67→1726.93 | +0.18 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:05 | ETH | Buy | 1708.27→1713.33 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:34 | ETH | Buy | 1705.97→1707.73 | +0.06 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:56 | ETH | Buy | 1690.17→1708.33 | +4.92 | timeout |
| 06-19 10:45 | ETH | Buy | 1692.07→1688.13 | -1.62 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:20 | ETH | Buy | 1702.87→1695.93 | -2.49 | timeout |
| 06-18 22:46 | ETH | Buy | 1688.17→1703.33 | +4.01 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:37 | ETH | Buy | 1747.87→1711.67 | -10.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 10:38 | ETH | Buy | 1735.27→1740.83 | +1.13 | timeout |
| 06-18 04:31 | ETH | Buy | 1743.07→1734.13 | -3.00 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | ETH | Buy | 1774.88→1737.96 | -10.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:38 | ETH | Buy | 1772.18→1775.52 | +0.47 | timeout |
| 06-17 10:45 | ETH | Buy | 1795.58→1771.82 | -7.06 | timeout |
| 06-17 04:37 | ETH | Buy | 1793.98→1794.02 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 06-16 22:13 | ETH | Buy | 1778.68→1797.92 | +4.92 | timeout |
| 06-16 16:09 | ETH | Buy | 1790.68→1779.22 | -3.68 | timeout |
| 06-16 10:09 | ETH | Buy | 1779.58→1790.02 | +2.46 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:28 | ETH | Buy | 1809.98→1772.44 | -10.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 21:33 | ETH | Buy | 1815.28→1816.62 | -0.10 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:11 | ETH | Buy | 1722.97→1791.62 | +19.46 | take_profit |
| 06-15 09:20 | ETH | Buy | 1721.27→1722.33 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-15 03:19 | ETH | Buy | 1691.67→1721.53 | +8.36 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:16 | ETH | Buy | 1662.57→1682.33 | +5.47 | timeout |
| 06-14 15:12 | ETH | Buy | 1674.47→1662.13 | -4.13 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:03 | ETH | Buy | 1682.57→1674.53 | -2.83 | timeout |
| 06-14 02:50 | ETH | Buy | 1675.57→1682.03 | +1.47 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:40 | ETH | Buy | 1679.57→1674.83 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 06-13 14:35 | ETH | Buy | 1676.77→1679.33 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 06-13 08:43 | ETH | Buy | 1668.57→1676.23 | +1.81 | timeout |
| 06-13 02:36 | ETH | Buy | 1665.97→1668.83 | +0.39 | timeout |
| 06-12 20:30 | ETH | Buy | 1670.67→1665.33 | -2.04 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:24 | ETH | Buy | 1673.57→1665.23 | -2.95 | timeout |
| 06-12 08:21 | ETH | Buy | 1672.87→1674.43 | -0.01 | timeout |
| 06-12 02:14 | ETH | Buy | 1678.77→1674.03 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 06-11 20:13 | ETH | Buy | 1645.06→1677.93 | +9.52 | timeout |
| 06-11 14:04 | ETH | Buy | 1655.67→1652.83 | -1.32 | timeout |
| 06-11 08:04 | ETH | Buy | 1642.86→1655.03 | +3.22 | timeout |
| 06-11 01:56 | ETH | Buy | 1630.76→1641.74 | +2.88 | timeout |
| 06-10 19:57 | ETH | Buy | 1654.37→1629.34 | -7.99 | timeout |
| 06-10 09:21 | ETH | Buy | 1638.96→1605.04 | -10.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 21:44 | ETH | Buy | 1641.26→1655.63 | +3.94 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:47 | ETH | Buy | 1667.47→1632.92 | -10.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 09:39 | ETH | Buy | 1664.47→1666.43 | +0.19 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:27 | ETH | Buy | 1711.17→1674.99 | -10.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 21:37 | ETH | Buy | 1692.97→1710.73 | +4.84 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:33 | ETH | Buy | 1661.17→1693.53 | +9.29 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:15 | ETH | Buy | 1680.07→1645.31 | -10.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:14 | ETH | Buy | 1629.16→1694.63 | +19.65 | take_profit |
| 06-07 21:27 | ETH | Buy | 1628.66→1628.64 | -0.41 | timeout |
| 06-07 15:23 | ETH | Buy | 1637.56→1626.94 | -3.66 | timeout |
| 06-07 09:16 | ETH | Buy | 1592.46→1643.14 | +15.48 | timeout |
| 06-07 03:12 | ETH | Buy | 1561.86→1591.04 | +8.92 | timeout |
| 06-06 21:04 | ETH | Buy | 1554.16→1556.94 | +0.47 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:30 | ETH | Buy | 1579.76→1546.77 | -10.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:11 | ETH | Buy | 1574.06→1541.47 | -10.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 23:25 | ETH | Buy | 1604.16→1570.86 | -10.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:10 | ETH | Buy | 1588.36→1555.47 | -10.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:52 | ETH | Buy | 1667.17→1632.62 | -10.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 05:43 | ETH | Buy | 1733.47→1696.98 | -10.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 02:29 | ETH | Buy | 1771.58→1734.86 | -10.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 21:15 | ETH | Buy | 1788.08→1777.22 | -3.49 | timeout |
| 06-04 15:08 | ETH | Buy | 1761.98→1788.02 | +6.90 | timeout |
| 06-04 07:24 | ETH | Buy | 1808.88→1771.44 | -10.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 01:51 | ETH | Buy | 1798.58→1761.34 | -10.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 15:47 | ETH | Buy | 1875.59→1836.7 | -10.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 10:32 | ETH | Buy | 1839.18→1884.11 | +11.73 | timeout |
| 06-03 03:49 | ETH | Buy | 1859.29→1820.81 | -10.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 21:55 | ETH | Buy | 1909.09→1897.91 | -3.39 | timeout |
| 06-02 13:09 | ETH | Buy | 1979.5→1975.6 | -1.44 | timeout |
| 06-02 10:16 | ETH | Buy | 1999.7→1979.4 | -5.54 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
148
closed
41%
win rate
-180.25
total pnl ($)
-24.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 148 | 41% | -24.2 | -180.25 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 23:13 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||